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nvck

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Everything posted by nvck

  1. nvck
    some MCV magic it looks like in eastern MI today, quite a few tor warnings
  2. nvck
    interested in the june 15-17 timeframe for a few days of highs potentially in the mid-70s. ensembles have been trending towards a nice respite from the heat/humidity
  3. nvck
    monday could be interesting, surprised to see the csu come in this hot, but multi-day svr wx possible from the plains up to the upper midwest
  4. nvck
    the current fv3 RRFS (which afaik is the one rolling out as operational on aug 31) is not great. word on the street (twitter) is that the mpas RRFS is much better, but won't be operational for a while longer
  5. nvck
    Heading out monday to try and chase tuesday in E KS/MO, looks like a dismal pattern if you're a tornado fan, but could be daily chances for ISO svrs with good hail, which is what we're after. will be out for ~2 weeks, so looks like the pattern should become a bit more favorable after next weekend
  6. nvck
    could be wrong, but IMO there'll be more of these easterly EMLs than usual this summer, given the incredible drought out west.
  7. nvck
    Pretty aggressive wording on this SMW over Lake Michigan
  8. nvck
    Really, really rare to see this highest level contour on the CSU maps this far out
  9. nvck
    A rare (the first this season?) warm spring day here with very calm winds. usually we pay a price with these 60s/70s, but thankfully not today
  10. nvck
    just ripped snow here for about 3 minutes, hasn't dropped below 32 yet today, though.
  11. nvck
    Got this earlier as a cell crawled down from Clare. not a ton of lightning, but really crisp updrafts all around.
  12. nvck
    barely hit 70 today, but plenty of showers/weak tstorms around. campus wx camera has a nice view: http://weather.eas.cmich.edu/current/webcam/2026-04-16-17-56.jpg
  13. nvck
    Also, thinking they may go MDT with the 1630z update
  14. nvck
    Beautiful light show last night here, went and sat out in a field for ~90 minutes, with constant lightning 20-40 miles away, first from the cell that moved through Saginaw, and then new stuff that back built from it, probably off of outflow?
  15. nvck
    What a time for the IWX radar to go down...
  16. nvck
    MD and then watch just issued pretty much back to back for IWX area
  17. nvck
    Surprised that the D2 update at 1730z didn't introduce any sort of ENH in Michigan
  18. nvck
    went ahead and started a thread
  19. nvck
    figured it's probably due, almost a lock that someone in the sub's gonna see some action today or tomorrow. primarily hail/tornado risk.
  20. nvck
    Single-cell MD up in your neck of the woods, @Brian D
  21. nvck
    warm front finally made it up here, about 45 minutes ago, 75/55 now, really feeling like we've got some good juice for storms
  22. nvck
    yeah, kinda concerned about flooding potential in the area this week, especially as soils are pretty saturated already
  23. nvck
    Yeah, sure
  24. nvck
    absolute peak weather here today, with what will probably be the last fully sunny day for a while.
  25. nvck
    tis the season
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