Bob Chill

Pretty much every long timer here knows that our "good" winter periods are usually very compressed and storms come in bunches. No idea why. Just how it is. Don't have any worthwhile thoughts about late week except we might have kicked off the first of a "storm bunch" today. If that's really possible, Fri may end up similar to today with how models did in the mid range. If you go thru history, our compacted storm periods can happen in any type of enso and can even happen in the face of an abysmal winter. Wx is weird like that. We haven't had a heater since Feb-Mar 2015. Would be kinda nice to have another but that's just me.

Snow takes a while to fall 5k feet and the radar beam returns are from well off the ground. It's really obvious with snow squall lines that blow thru. Yellows overhead and nothing in the air, followed by an immediate meltdown here, then quickly followed up with a "scratch last post it's dumping" lol

How often do we have yellows pushing into a razor edge where literally nothing is falling west of there in the MIDDLE of a storm? This happens with departing coastals often but always right at the end. This storm is rare (very) in that respect.

Thickest from the top down no doubt

Edge should get some pushback here as the low approaches our latitude but the models did a sick job at modeling an exceptionally sick cutoff. I'm very impressed. These are the features that cause us big big headaches. Not this time.

Nah, no need to put effort into things that require no effort. #s speak for themselves up north. Period. And I(we) all know it. We love you as a person but we fookin hate your yard. Gotta take the good with the bad. Lolz Eta: there's another good thing! This storm puts the subforum redistricting movement on hold.

It used to bother me. Now I embrace it. Which is good because I'm very happy for PSU rn. Not always the case

Here we go! CO powder falling. The sweet (and lucky) part of this storm's "edge" is the line isnt a dusting one side and 1" on the other. It's a damn party anywhere east of the edge. Enjoy cuz it's not common

Use imgur or whatever hosting. Uploading here sucks. Fills up your storage and files have to be deleted individually. I haven't been able to upload here for years because there no fookin way I'm deleting 1k files one at a time. With imgur and similar, just upload and paste the link here. It will embed the pic

Not going to have much time to post but we're only a few hours away now from the CCB type snows. Kinda already happening in ppaces but the low has a bunch of latitude to gain yet. I'm a bit west obviously but I'm still expecting some colorado style powder even if brief. Peeps east of 95 may have their best scene in many many years.

It's when snow falls so hard all at once it registers in the Richter scale

Dryslot runs from Atlanta to Ric already. Uh oh...

You should move east near 95. You'd get both wishes on the regular.

Discuss SEVA climo history in another thread. Nobody wants to read that here. Not a single person.

Obviously models are converging on a SE of 95 jack and really nasty cutoff but I swear I've seen this movie 30 times. Maybe the SE does get the qpf/fronto jack... but will that cutoff verify? My gut says 6" from somewhere around HGR eastward. We had some cold Pacman events 2014&15 but the cold dry air eating the NW periphery was legit. Teens and single digits nearby legit. This setup is different. We'll see.

In downtown for this one right? IIRC, you spent time in the WV panhandle last winter?

Part of this is consciousness driven. You have to be nice to mother nature and wx models. I mean genuine too. In the heart. Or she will constantly torture you. You know the HoCo-MoCo deathband? That wasn't a fluke. It was a manifestation from me, @WxUSAF, and everyone in between. Sorta like karma but different. You need to earn snow here. If you hold grudges... umm.... well... don't do that

Wouldn't take much to wet bulb right down to the mid 50s. I wouldn't worry.

Thread would read better if we waited until it wasn't 80 outside.

Use imgur (or whatever hosting) and embed the link. Easiest way and basically unlimited

Looks sweet but a jack stripe east of the fall line looks suspicious to me

Yep, right up until the post storm snow map looks just like our standard climo

I look at the ICON as a side project. Europe undeniably has the most accurate global wx model in the world. Germans like making fancy techy sciency things and got jealous so they built their own. There are 2 versions. The lower res global version is what we see. The high res icon goes out 4 days and covers Europe. It's regarded as pretty accurate and even more accurate than the ECWMF in the short range. But from a global model perspective, it's 4th behind euro/gfs/cmc. It's certainly good enough to be useful but I'd be hesitant to put it #1 with an east coast snow storm in the short range.

They really REALLY need to lift the keyboard foreclosure ban

Good God it's hot outside. I mean like hot for real. I know snow can stick at 36 no prob. Will 56 be a problem tho?