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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, down here I'll hold off on running my snow blower out of gas for another 24 hours. The other day I took in the stick poles at the front lawn near the street. Taking those in I was afraid I jinxed myself.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Right through til November.
  3. 78Blizzard
    What the Canadian does that is different from the other models is that it gets to E of LI and then heads straight E rather than through SNE.
  4. 78Blizzard
    The Ukie lost that dual low at 12z, but consolidated it west.
  5. 78Blizzard
    Uncle says it is.
  6. 78Blizzard
    I think it's a fairly safe prediction that NNE ski season will see one of its earliest endings at many slopes.
  7. 78Blizzard
    Meanwhile, Boston looks to be about +7°F AN for the first week of March.
  8. 78Blizzard
    Wait-a-day model mayhem:
  9. 78Blizzard
    My thoughts on this winter:
  10. 78Blizzard
    The Euro will suck us all in until day 2, then
  11. 78Blizzard
    I like your optimism but speculating on 11 day potential just won't cut it after this latest day 2 failure. Long range and even medium range model confidence has been found wanting this winter season. Earlier this winter others were being criticized for posting such long range op runs.
  12. 78Blizzard
    Euro did come north a bit, but too little too late.
  13. 78Blizzard
    The 0z Euro at 06z shows temps in the upper 20's. What a joke. It's 36F here now.
  14. 78Blizzard
    Both the 03 RAP and HRRR show 1"/hr rates here between 10-2, so we could still get 6" here.
  15. 78Blizzard
    Nothing like a busted forecast to attract the flies.
  16. 78Blizzard
    Heavier qpf is breaking out in extreme NE KY. How much of that moves into those SE OH counties remains to be seen. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-OH_RV-comp_radar-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  17. 78Blizzard
    Some here were done a month ago.
  18. 78Blizzard
    ICON still shows taint in many areas.
  19. 78Blizzard
    I said days ago that we would overachieve with this storm. But we may be doing so from a much lower baseline now.
  20. 78Blizzard
    I think we will see a north movement from now to go time. How much, we will see?
  21. 78Blizzard
    Imagine someone who signed off here late this morning and came back to see all these pages, picking up where he left off. His joy turned into bitter disappointment as he began reading.
  22. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, you weren't giving them much yesterday.
  23. 78Blizzard
    Is there any chance that bad data was ingested that was thus picked up by all models? Also, if you look at the last 6 runs of the 3k NAM, it has consistently brought the outer limits of the qpf shield down from upstate NY to where it is now on each successive run. So this has been telegraphed to some degree, but the Euro didn't pick up on it that quickly.
  24. 78Blizzard
    Even a 30-40 mile shift back N will make a big difference for many. This isn't done yet.
  25. 78Blizzard
    The Cape is waiting for the apologies for being dumped on yesterday when claiming to be in the jack.
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