We're breaking global records by an exceedingly large margin this year and the Nino hasn't even peaked.
This month should be freezing based on current indices but we're getting record late freezes.
Perhaps further SW especially if the short term track keep shifting west.
It could really enhance the precip though for Saturday aka more flooding rains possible with gusty winds to boot.
October could be stormy after the first week with first taste Fri/Sat.
Also a non-zero chance we get some tropical influence from Philippe if the track shifts west.
But +PNA/-NAO and AO trending negative are stormy indicators.