SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Looks like a glancing heat blow at best. Models backing off as we get closer. Omega type block with big ridge in the Midwest/plains.
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Nope miss south.
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GFS/Euro switched places for next week. Now the Euro has stronger heat. Dicey pattern as it wouldn't take much to go from no heat to strong heat wave and vice versa
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Yeah not sure what he was thinking. This had a wagons north look to it for a while.
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Looks pretty meh to me honestly, at least in my neck of the woods (New Brunswick) Yeah the best CAPE/shear is south but the activity is further north so they don't coincide
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That's what it looks like.
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It's going to be north of here. Current radar and HRRR reflect that Stuff in PA also has an ENE component favoring northern areas
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Yes but they did adjust north with the slight risk as well compared to yesterday
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Slight risk should be bumped north. Things look particularly active tomorrow evening/night
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That could easily stay further SW. Will have to wait and see what happens
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Move to Miami then
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We already get record warm summers, what more do you want
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I admire the GFS attempts to boil us alive. There's definitely an opening for a few days of strong heat but 100s are probably not happening
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That was a wild storm. Woke up to a tornado warning too. Thunder was extremely loud
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Let me save you some time. According to snowman it'll be a strong to super east based Nino like 97/98 that'll cause a snowless, torch winter in the east. And to save you some more time. The following winter will be another horrible Nina with a snowless, torch winter. And so on and so on Dude is extremely predictable Basically never expect to see cold/snow again according to him
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Tropics will turn on a dime after August 20th as they always do.
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HRRR does have some activity tonight so maybe some storms will survive
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Completely disagree. The journey to winter along with everything that comes with it is the best part imo. Sept & Oct are my favorite months
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GFS wants to give us 100s while Euro keeps heat away
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There's definitely some real heat potential after mid August on the models. Will it get pushed back, we'll see but so far there's some holding
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
SnoSki14 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
This gives me hope given how wrong you were with last winter's blocking pattern -
We'll see I suppose. Of course nowadays back broken means closer to normal rather than top 5-10 warm months.
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I think it'll still happen but it won't be as severe or prolonged as GFS indicated. Heat really loses its punch after August 20th.
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I noticed the big heat signal keeps getting pushed back. Maybe some stray 90 readings next 10 days but mostly 80s. We had more than double the 90s by this time last year.
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GFS LR really wants to roast us but other models say hold on. In fact the WAR ends up being weaker with time, usually it's the opposite. So the jury's still out on any prolonged heat.
