SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Gfs op is a joke. The flipping is insane. Hard disagree. Very strong ensemble support that last week of November will be very cool. However I do think we warm up once December begins and there's ensemble support for that too.
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Euro does not agree
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On a lonely island by itself.
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Too much of a Nina influence this time
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If you think the -PDO and Nina background state won't play a major role then you'll be very disappointed. Unless those elements change then I expect another lackluster eastern winter but hopefully it'll be more than 2" of snow in NYC...low bar
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EPS has some cool air spilling east around Thanksgiving but for the most part it's cold west, mild east like the past 8+ years. The Nina background state looks permanent
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Lol it's 29 outside the urban jungle.
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Ensembles have a warm thanksgiving. Strong trough west, ridge east. Good -EPO but all the cold dumps west due to -PNA Meanwhile already down to 34F before 7PM
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The continued mixed Nino/Nina elements are concerning. Having a Nina background state while Nino tries to influence the pattern could be a major desconstructive problem.
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Same ole garbage. I guess we'll be seeing another 2" winter. Time to move out west.
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I saw lots of low to mid 20s in NJ. Got down to about 29F near New Brunswick. Tonight should be ideal for several degrees lower. The dry weather will also help.
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Suburbs should radiate nicely tomorrow night. I'm thinking widespread low to mid 20s.
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I think we'll see some 70s in the Nov 16-22 period
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Nice
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Watch this be the winter pattern
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I mean it's 66F now. Probably will get to 68-69
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That's a Forky blowtorch pattern by mid month. Some 70s near Turkey day?
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More 70s on Tuesday. It's a warm Pacific jet pattern. Hopefully not a precursor to winter
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Looks like the same ole garbage we've seen with a rapid Nina Pacific jet.
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Hit freezing and several hours of night left. Will be in the 20s by 7am.
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It just looks like the same Pacific Nina puke pattern of the past 6+ years honestly. I don't see any Nino pattern that's for sure.
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Growing season ends for most of NJ tonight. Easily in the 20s and wouldn't be surprised to see some mid 20s.
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The insistence that this will be remotely like 15/16 or 97/98 is crazy. The current pattern fully resembles a Nina or at the very least a mixed Nino/Nina.
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Sort of a mixed bag going forward. Back and forth between cooler and warmer days with neutral PNA. Wouldn't be surprised to see 70F this weekend though.
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Nearly a 30 degree swing from yesterday at this time. I guess we'll see if we get warm sectored tomorrow.
