Jump to content

SnoSki14

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    15,183

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Models will waffle back and forth but I think the +PNA that's common in Nino Octobers will win out.
  2. SnoSki14
    By next Saturday it cools down significantly. I highly doubt October is a torch month.
  3. SnoSki14
    This is where his obvious warm bias comes into play. God forbid any of those years are seen as potential analogs for him. And yes I know Joe B is biased in the other direction but a dead clock is right twice a day. I'm very interested to see how October stacks up. It could very well be a warmed up version of those Nino years kinda like how the summer was a warmed up version of 09.
  4. SnoSki14
    Models changed quite a bit after the 1st week of October. I don't buy the torch October shown anymore. Maybe a mix would work better
  5. SnoSki14
    Those PNA forecasts are wild and it's crazy to see models show a blowtorch October just a few days ago to a strong eastern trough after the 1st week.
  6. SnoSki14
    I am very happy to be missing out on these floods out here. Sounds like a terrible situation for many though
  7. SnoSki14
    Perfectly happy to get a glancing blow from this in New Brunswick. Don't need 5-10" amounts after all the rains we've had.
  8. SnoSki14
    So ensembles decided that fall is indeed coming now?
  9. SnoSki14
    Quite the reversal on the ensembles after the 8-9th now from a couple days ago. All of these competing influences seem to be screwing with the models.
  10. SnoSki14
    But does it have any legitimacy or is it the equivalent of its winter storm weenie runs.
  11. SnoSki14
    So if things played out moving forward it would basically ensure another warm, snowless winter.. can't say I'm surprised anymore.
  12. SnoSki14
    Not to sound alarmist but at this point voting for certain political parties really is a choice between life & death for many. That being said even the anti-climate deniers aren't doing nearly enough to address the ongoing climate change acceleration.
  13. SnoSki14
    Yeah it's insane. So much for that super Nino pattern. GFS looks like a raging Nina
  14. SnoSki14
    We're seeing Nina like conditions to start October...not exactly promising. But who knows maybe we'll luck out and get a Nina December followed by a Nino Jan/Feb. Many competing factors so an outcome like that wouldn't be surprising.
  15. SnoSki14
    It's an October Forky pattern. No fall weather in sight. Huge trough out west with big ridge in the east. We may not even be done with tropical threats if that's the case.
  16. SnoSki14
    Endless summer starts in October. Looks nothing like a strong Nino pattern
  17. SnoSki14
    So much for the strong to severe Nino that Snowman can't stop talking about. We're clearly getting dual forcing here and yeah we're sort of lucking into a cooler 2nd half Sept pattern because everything else is blowtorching.
  18. SnoSki14
    It doesn't seem like we got a lot of rain because it was so stretched out but most places got 1.5-2+ so not too shabby. And there's more to come too
  19. SnoSki14
    Radar doesn't look so great for the region but showers could develop later.
  20. SnoSki14
    Euro trending more unsettled too especially later this week (Fri-Sat). Another rainy weekend perhaps? Very strong blocking high to our north continues so wouldn't be surprised to see a much more pessimistic forecast with continued strong onshore flow.
  21. SnoSki14
    Yes very latter October feel
  22. SnoSki14
    We'll get a good hit with the remnant low tomorrow, probably a lot more than today.
  23. SnoSki14
    We'll sort of be artificially cool despite a very warm pattern aloft because of how the highs are setting up. Tons of onshore flow, precip & clouds will keep highs several degrees below normal. But this is not a fall pattern. Lows aren't even sniffing 40s anywhere anytime soon.
  24. SnoSki14
    GFS is junk
  25. SnoSki14
    I think there's likely to be two rounds of rain with more steady stuff tomorrow and some convective potential with the remnants. Models are likely way too fast spinning this down. Sunday could easily overperform
×
×
  • Create New...