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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Getting a significant snow event to the coast with a trough out west like that is unheard of. I expect further N&W trends so that the coast is mostly rain. At this point snowfall this year for the coastal plain will be relegated to February when the Pacific should improve.
  2. SnoSki14
    GFS with a nice weenie run
  3. SnoSki14
    Still would rather be in New England though. Not a fan of that Pacific pattern
  4. SnoSki14
    Would be nice for those trends to continue
  5. SnoSki14
    It would just be bizarre because we're in a seemingly Nina background state but there's a strong Nino too. It's like two wrongs do make it right in this instance. At least there's something to track I suppose
  6. SnoSki14
    I doubt the volcano had much of an effect. The aerosols sure. It also doesn't help that we're lagging big time with renewables and clean energy. I think coal outputs reached record highs actually
  7. SnoSki14
    If it did produce it would be one of those oddball combinations which to be fair have been more frequent.
  8. SnoSki14
    Bluewave ain't encouraged and neither am I. Trough out west is a killer
  9. SnoSki14
    Pacific isn't good so you really want the 4th system to trend stronger, which in turn will lead to a better 50/50 for the following storm so it's not an inland runner. I would be surprised if this worked out for us. Pattern is not very good for snow. New England is in a much better spot. Still the key will be that 4th system. Perhaps the poor Pacific will allow that one to keep amplifying
  10. SnoSki14
    That's not a bad look
  11. SnoSki14
    The storm that kicked off 2 decades of amazingly snowy seasons and killed the rut of those rough late 90s winters.
  12. SnoSki14
    Cold is dumping west and that's a smoothed out look. Probably would see more ridging in the east.
  13. SnoSki14
    Which means that day when he finally forecasts snow, it's definitely going to snow.
  14. SnoSki14
    So zero snow this year? And it's not just us, it's the entire CONUS
  15. SnoSki14
    You know its bad when so far this winter is starting out much worse than last year at this time (temp wise). And we had like 2" last winter.
  16. SnoSki14
    I'm not that mad if this ends up being another non-winter. There's a lot of positives to a warm winter. I just wish it wasn't so rainy. February will be the month to watch. Pacific looks like trash before that.
  17. SnoSki14
    Just compare each decade with previous decades and you'll get your answer. Warming has been steady if not accelerating and though cold/snowy periods still occur their frequency has diminished greatly. As things warm the frequency of wetter years will also go up. And though dry periods will occur, our region as a whole will see average rainfall totals go up.
  18. SnoSki14
    And yet some will say it's not as bad because it's not Dec 15. Well +5 against the highest normals is terrible. But I guess you could be +10 or better like folks further west
  19. SnoSki14
    Totally has nothing to do with AGW though. Just bad luck
  20. SnoSki14
    Most El Ninos don't really kick off winter until late Jan and Feb so that's probably our best shot this year. I think 15-20" could be reasonable as it wouldn't take much. The SSW timing would align well with Nino climo too given its lag time.
  21. SnoSki14
    At this point a single warning event would be a miracle. It's crazy that we're going on 2 years without one. Makes me lucky to be alive during the snowy 2000s & 2010s.
  22. SnoSki14
    Snow pack? Most would be lucky to see a snowstorm
  23. SnoSki14
    Nino climo with a SSW early Jan would be significant for late Jan and Feb. Would be nice to score something in the Jan 1-10 period too.
  24. SnoSki14
    Looks like January will open BN with snow opportunities followed by a Jan thaw mid month and then Nino climo really kicks off late Jan into Feb. CFS weeklies depict this very well.
  25. SnoSki14
    ?
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