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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Should this pattern last all summer it def won't be dry as several forecasts suggest.
  2. All this doom & gloom and we'll probably finish May AN with at least 1 90 degree day.
  3. What's with all the dry outlooks, I haven't seen anything thus far that would lead to that outcome.
  4. We'll definitely be in the 80s by this weekend, maybe even by Friday. Gfs suggests even 90s are possible.
  5. If the Gfs is correct we'll all be seeing a heat wave by the weekend. I'm stunned by how hot the 0z Gfs is.
  6. It's gonna be hard to sustain anything in this pattern. It's more likely that the warm-up is just a temporary break from what we've seen. Models could also trend cooler too.
  7. If that's accurate then we'll be seeing our first 90F soon.
  8. And yet there won't be a peep from them when it's in the 90s next week.
  9. Near normal temperatures though, April was AN. May could end up AN if the warmer guidance is correct. But that doesn't mean much if it's cloudy/rainy for a large chunk of the time. Max temps have been BN too. Fingers crossed we don't see a repeat of this pattern Memorial day weekend. I could see how things turn very warm for a few days only to revert back to this colder, easterly flow pattern.
  10. We've had much colder springs than this though, but it's the mix of really raw days that make a difference. Maybe the warm guidance is right for next weekend, and if so, we'll quickly forget days like today. Once this pattern breaks down I think we roast into the 90s.
  11. I wouldn't bet on it given such unfavorable signals. Euro's already reverting back to a cooler signal but volatile model runs are likely given raging Pacific jet.
  12. The AO gets even more negative in a week but then there are some signs it starts breaking down.
  13. Nam is ridiculously chilly Sunday afternoon. Only has low to mid 40s with rain and gusty winds. Monday could see a max temp under 50F.
  14. Just hit 70F. Will be an interesting contrast by this time tomorrow. I'm thinking it'll be in the upper 40s with rain & gusty winds.
  15. Could be a fake out as we've seen this winter. Things will probably get warmer just due to climo but I don't see AN. I think June could be AN as the tellie signals weaken. It won't take much to get the heat up here from the Mid-Atlantic once we lose those outside influences.
  16. You sure about that? Tellies stay essentially the same through end of May. If you mean warmer than the next few days then sure, but I don't see widespread 80s or 90s anytime soon. I think as we get closer to late May guidance will correct itself and show cooler temperatures.
  17. Some gusty winds near the coast too, pretty much a late spring nor'easter. Temps could even drop into the 40s once the rain kicks in.
  18. I think people are just shocked we haven't seen 80s & 90s when past Mays had those in abundance. That and a few really raw days and cooler maxes overall make things feel much worse than they are.
  19. Blocking stays in place, pattern locks in so I don't see why it wouldn't continue this month. By June the effectiveness of blocking starts to weaken but I wouldn't be shocked to see this regime last through mid June.
  20. Some guidance even suggests daytime temps in the 40s with the two coastal like storms Sun-Tue. My current forecast is low 50s Sun/Mon.
  21. They'll trend wetter as we go forward. Focus could be on Sunday night through Tuesday. Models slowing down the systems given blocking. Nasty early week with highs only in the low to mid 50s (or colder given coastal signal) with rain.
  22. Pattern will likely turn even cooler relative to normal than the first 10 days of May with averages now being in the 70s.
  23. Yeah and it showed blocking all winter and we know how that panned out. Expect corrections as we get closer.
  24. Yup, so much for all the doom & gloom. Tomorrow looks decent too.
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