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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    June's become one of those rare near normal months as of late kind of what March has turned into, a +0.5 to +1 month appears likely again this year.
  2. SnoSki14
    Except that the blocking is more than residual, June may set another 500mb record for blocking at this rate. Can things drastically change by July, definitely, but I've got a feeling this current pattern isn't going anywhere. And to be clear we're still technically AN right now, so the only thing that's being kept at bay is the high heat maxes.
  3. SnoSki14
    So will the 90 forecasts.
  4. SnoSki14
    Record low ice this year?
  5. SnoSki14
    As climos still going up it's possible to sneak in a 90 degree day or two by that time. However it's also more likely that models scale back on any heat potential as we approach that period.
  6. SnoSki14
    And it'll be wrong as it was in the past.
  7. SnoSki14
    Could end up being an average summer, which would feel downright cool versus what we're used to. But it's also possible that the -NAO translates into hotter weather by mid July.
  8. SnoSki14
    Pretty ridiculous Greenland blocking on the models especially for what will be mid June. Definitely no big heat (85+) for the foreseeable future. I wonder what role this will play for the hurricane season.
  9. SnoSki14
    Yup a good 10 degrees colder just away from the metro. 47F for me, probably the coldest we'll see until September.
  10. SnoSki14
    Would be nice if this could hold for next fall/winter. Also wow at the dramatic turnaround from record low heights.
  11. SnoSki14
    Nonstop cloud to cloud lightning with that last line of storms, some wind but not much else.
  12. SnoSki14
    There's a ton of onshore flow possible end of this week into next along with the decent two day NW flow cool down Mon-Tue. 90+ readings will be very unlikely in this pattern. Even 85+ will be hard to come by. I'm not sure when this will change, these stuck patterns last for months.
  13. SnoSki14
    Onshore flow for days, lots of clouds and BN highs.
  14. SnoSki14
    I'll be impressed if highs can stay in the 60s under mostly sunny skies in early June. Lows also forecast to be in the upper 40s, both very rare without a major onshore flow event.
  15. SnoSki14
    Not much going on, last couple days felt very early fall like However overall activity in PA/NJ in late May could signal an active severe season once we get into July/August given the cyclical pattern we've been in.
  16. SnoSki14
    Agree it's been mostly a decent spring in NJ, not so much in parts of LI but that's par for the course in nearly every Spring. June 10 onward should feel more summery as the blocking influences continue to deteriorate.
  17. SnoSki14
    How am I trolling, I'm looking at the radar.
  18. SnoSki14
    The whole line is weakening, even the rain shouldn't be very heavy. Another disappointing severe weather day here.
  19. SnoSki14
    High shear, low CAPE type storms with a strong frontal boundary in place, so I think we will get a good smack especially just S/W of the city.
  20. SnoSki14
    Strong gradient over NJ & frontal boundary has elevated storms in the past. Models still hit us pretty hard.
  21. SnoSki14
    I like tomorrow's threat even moreso than today's, I think we'll have less junk to deal with early on too.
  22. SnoSki14
    That looks really impressive, a tornado or waterspout with that one would not surprise me.
  23. SnoSki14
    As I said earlier, morning to afternoon showers killed what could've been a really significant event.
  24. SnoSki14
    Suns out now and temp up to 77F, getting increasingly unstable in a hurry, maybe we won't bust this time. Impressive activity in PA
  25. SnoSki14
    RAP really tries to advect the unstable parameters N&E, will see if it holds any weight. Temps now climbing above 70, dews in the mid 60s.
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