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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. AN is the new normal, that's pretty clear from the data above. Nowadays a cold September would be near normal.
  2. Yup though it's clearly a much more active, less hot pattern. We should see a lot more fronts coming through. October, especially 1st half is still pretty mild.
  3. I'm sure we'll end this flash drought with some massive deluge.
  4. We'll be going from extended 80s to even 90s this coming Wednesday to low 60s next weekend and 40s for lows, pretty big change imo. And we'll feel it too.
  5. Euro's much more reluctant to cool us down vs Gfs though it's inevitable with the high pressing south. More of a pattern shift than a change right now. Nothing to suggest BN temps or stormy weather.
  6. Yeah wow that's like 110-112+ for summer. We'll have to see if days like today and this weekend overperform by more than a degree. If they do then I'd lean towards those higher readings. Huge help from the flash drought.
  7. Fairly strong -EPO and volatile NAO combo looks to be setting up so I highly doubt the cool down is a mere blip. We're more likely to see some very strong highs from Canada press south.
  8. Next Wednesday before the front has the best chance. Current forecast is mid to upper 80s. If -NAO is stronger then low to mid 80s more likely. Several warm impulses before that though with Thursday, Sat-Sun, and next Tuesday possibly seeing mid 80s or better. I'm leaning higher given how dry its been. Local spots could easily hit 90 on 1 or more of those days.
  9. Pretty dramatic cool down on some of the models by next Thu/Fri, certainly possible given it'll be October.
  10. Huh, all models show 80s to low 90s Sun-Thu next week plus Thu this week. That's record breaking type heat. The heat may finally break by next Friday.
  11. Are people really happy about this weather or are they just pretending to be. I sense a lot of rage underneath.
  12. Lawns starting to look like hay, not much support for any showers later today either.
  13. Joe B. continues to be a complete joke. I remember him going on and on how there would be a big global cooling event for the 2010s and 20s. Every year he forecasts a big east coast winter and Northeast hurricanes. Occasionally he ends up right but so does a dead clock.
  14. Serious short term drought could develop based on guidance showing little to no rain next 2 weeks and very warm temperatures. Grass is already getting very brown. The real, sustained ridge won't develop until Thu/Fri of this week. It may also cause TS Karen to impact the US as Euro shows.
  15. Well the possibilities still exist on the models and the dry spell will help push temps higher. We'll get very close I think.
  16. I'm more skeptical of 90s as the Euro/EPS has gradually been shifting the highest anomalies further west.
  17. The only difference is the sun won't be as strong but other than that it would feel like July. Guidance is still trying to figure out where the hottest anomalies will be, the EPS/Euro focuses on the Midwest/Ohio Valley. We'll also have to see if the maritime weakness gets stronger as we get closer as it could have a major role in the upcoming heat surge.
  18. GFS flirts us with 90 last few days of this month into October. Has zero precip through 12 days. If it's gonna get hot then I'm rooting for it to go all the way. Give me October 90s.
  19. Heat looks continuous except a slight mild down Tue/Wed Other than that it'll feel like July well into October and very dry too. Low to medium grade drought setting up.
  20. That statement is idiotic. And literally every scientist on the planet agrees that we are the cause but do enlighten us. And Don please don't even waste your time.
  21. Euro Op is confused too. Has a -NAO going, a Nina pattern out west but also an eastern Canada weakness that tries to squeeze through here BDCF style. Warm overall but not as clear cut as before.
  22. 1st round of heat this weekend followed by a mild down for a couple days and then the heat ridge from hell follows on the Euro. If this pattern locks in for the next 6 months everyone's screwed.
  23. Well for all the heat talk the first 20 days of September will average close to normal. Euro Op relinquished some of the excess ridging too. It tries to build a -NAO
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