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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Already hit the low end (worst case) estimates here with 6" Absolutely ripping right now
  2. Not your typical SWFE that many were claiming
  3. As long as the sleet doesn't come in faster than projected then 10"+ seems pretty likely. Already over 5" with the heaviest stuff coming in now
  4. One run of the Nam had me at 3 total and I'm approaching 4
  5. Still looks to come in around 2PM but due to high initial ratios and the heavy incoming thump we're more likely to approach double digits
  6. With the current high ratios I think 10-12" is in the cards
  7. Yeah I don't think we'll see a delay in the changeover but that initial thump may end up being better than expected for some. Already 3" in Somerset
  8. HRRR also ramping up the pre sleet amounts.
  9. Everything covered and snowing heavy with that band in Somerset
  10. Those few hours before the change look so intense. I really think with ratios we could be pushing 3"+ an hour.
  11. How's the Nam performing so far to our SW? That'll give you an idea if it's correct or not
  12. I suspect we'll be fighting off sleet for a while as long as precip comes down heavily.
  13. Which should tell how of crappy it really is. Also crazy how SNE could score 2'+ amounts with this when they thought it was gonna be suppressed
  14. Looks like highs today will stay in the teens
  15. Loving my 6-10" call from a few days ago. Obviously areas not far north will have more but looking good right now
  16. It's not an apples to apples comparison for us though though sure there's some reason to be skeptical of its output
  17. Yeah my area might get 2"+ of sleet accumulation on top of 5-6" of snow. That's a very big deal and temps stay several degrees below freezing Will be an absolute nightmare to deal with though. Clearing that stuff out will suck
  18. Definitely not. The combination of snow/sleet + cold temps are definitely warning criteria. In many ways the ice component will make this worse than a standard 1 foot snowstorm
  19. Yeah I'm leaning lower. I think ratios and thump still gets us several inches but it's clearly trending less and less. Under 6" honestly wouldn't surprise me now
  20. If you're a fan of long lasting snow cover then sleet will encase the snow and it's gonna last a long time
  21. I think pretty much everyone will see 7-8" with the thump. The wall of snow to sleet idea is playing out as expected. Now it's just about timing. The longer we hold off the transition, the more snow we get. Even a 2-3 hr delay could mean the difference between 7" and 10"+
  22. 6z Nam looks a lot better than 0z...much more in line with other models
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