
SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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5F right now, the coldest temps I've seen in a while.
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Idk that easterly jet is no joke. I do think we have to spike into the 50s to get those really destructive winds to mix down though.
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Models didn't show any of those storms impacting us. Some showed a brush at best. Modeling has done a great job narrowing where the real impacts will be several days in advance.
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Well good at least this crappy cold will be gone. Cold/dry is just awful
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That's the one. High pressure placement already suggests this should trend west over time.
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No I don't think so. I'm looking at 21/22 for next storm possibility.
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The pattern looks too good not to cash in. We would really have to be unlucky to not get anything. I see overrunning potential into early Feb as well as the cold air will be tough to scour out.
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Agreed Monday never really looked like snow even several days out. I figured the high placement was totally off. Ocean storm wasn't a real threat either. The real disappointments are the storm that consistently show snow only to fail 1-2 days out.
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Monitoring a potential important TV to East Coastal storm: Jan 17
SnoSki14 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
What a beast of a storm though. Hurricane force gusts? -
The full phasing is apparent and it's causing it to rapidly intensify as it tugs west. Could be one hell of coastal/wind storm
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You'd have to be extremely unlucky not to score something.
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It's not the snowstorm people want but should be a notable event nonetheless. In fact a more phased, western storm would result in a better pattern for the next storm. Heights are trending higher in NAO region.
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Models are showing stronger phasing as we get closer which leads to a stronger storm getting tugged further west. It could be one of those rare times where winds are under forecast and HWW verify.
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I see a few opportunities for snow before things change. Maybe the 20/21st then 24-26th and likely Jan 30-Feb 3 period.
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Monitoring a potential important TV to East Coastal storm: Jan 17
SnoSki14 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It's a gift and a curse. The right storm could go batshit crazy and drop widespread 30-40"+ totals eventually. That's still possible next 2 weeks as pattern remains favorable. -
Absolutely and there's not much to stop this from doing so.
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Monitoring a potential important TV to East Coastal storm: Jan 17
SnoSki14 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Those words are forbidden -
We'll have to see if that ramps up as we get closer.
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Yes hopefully. Nothing worse than cold/dry. I'd rather it be 60-70F if that's the case.
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I think we'll see snow events develop out of nowhere with short lead times like 13/14
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We're gonna rip strong winds well inland with this track. I could see widespread 60mph winds if temps can get into the 50s.
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Yeah this should be interesting. The strength & track, gradient & timing around Full Moon should at least produce a significant wind/coastal flooding event.
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That look above is why there are better opportunities after Monday's storm.
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Well at least the GFS wasn't worse. I did like that it had more confluence ahead of it but the vortex was also a little slower this run so it cancelled out. That track would bring some serious wind ahead of it though.
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The Icon def looks east. Nice snows on the front end and surface temps never get much above freezing. That's probably the best scenario for us. Front end dump followed by dry slot.
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