TheClimateChanger

There were 6 counterexamples in the FOUR decades from the 1960s-1990s - that is pretty much every single year, as I claimed. Older data is worthless for this comparison, since it was collected 400-500 feet lower in elevation on a rooftop in the middle of the city.

I mean things aren't so hunky-dory even in the upper Midwest this year. I know MSP missed out on last year's disaster, but 9th lowest total to date with a blowtorch moving in.

Ouch. Nearly 40 inches below normal for the season to date, and adding at a rate of an inch per day during this blowtorch. I guess I was wrong, and climate change isn't happening.

How about Mansfield, Ohio? 2019-20, 2021-22, and 2022-23 not looking too great. And this winter is just bleak with nearly 5 inches less to date than last year's disaster.

Should I comment instead on the fact that last winter was one of the least snowy on record in many areas, and a lot of them are doing even WORSE this season to date with little hope of any snowfall for the foreseeable future? Here's Akron/Canton area (KCAK), for an example: Least snowy winters on record And the most recent climate summary showing a deficit of over 2 inches compared to last season's paltry total.

Why do I need to comment on typical "run of the mill" wintry weather? NWS says we finish the month 3-4F above normal, on the whole. The coldest low at Pittsburgh was 7F. It used to drop below zero almost every single winter. It was like 22 below 30 years ago.

Actually, it's not just old winters. I counted 27 winters where there is a discrepancy, including multiple recent ones (1996-97, 1998-99, 2000-01, 2004-05, 2005-06, 2006-07, 2010-11, 2019-20, 2020-21, and 2021-22). The vast majority of the time NWS Pittsburgh's count is a bit higher but there are exceptions. Most of the differences are small - less than an inch or two. But some of the early winters, there are discrepancies of up to 10 inches.

That's a significant error too. Drops the sixth highest calendar day snowfall to a two-way tie for 10th place.

Looking at snowfall numbers earlier and I noticed that xmACIS is sometimes wrong with early snow totals. I noticed there's a discrepancy in some years between the numbers given by xmACIS and the NWS totals. The error was most glaring for 1950-1951, which xmACIS gives as 80.0" but the NWS tally has 82.0". So I looked into it, and it looks like xmACIS has some errors. They have screwed us out of some of our snow from the November 1950 storm, showing 12.0" on the 24th, rather than the 14.0" that was actually observed.

No highest was 10.7 inches on December 17 (11.0" if you count the 0.3" that fell on the 18th as a single event). That's the highest 2- and 3-day total since February 2010.

Surprisingly, we still need 2.7" before the end of the month at PIT just to keep pace with last year's total there. We are currently at 11.6" for the season. Last season had 14.3" through the end of January, and that ended up being the 8th lowest on record, and least since 1990-1991. Actually looking at the list, the top 5 lowest were all from the city station. And the only two since moving out to either airport that were less were basically negligible differences, so that was about as bad as it gets climatologically. Of course, we had almost zero winter once the calendar turned to February last year. Probably won't duplicate that.

Dropped to 8 degrees on my weather station. Low of 9 at PIT.

Looks like there’s still some areas of heavier snow out there this morning.

Airport had at least 0.03” of precipitation after that time. Could be more, as ASOS can struggle with the snow. But even that should be good for an additional half inch.

Nice burst of snow here right now. Very big flakes. The main band is off to my west and south though.

No, I’m in Beaver County.

Yes, some of the best rates of this entire event despite all the complaints and banter.

Yeah, I think we are still on track. Radar looks solid. It’s just been so long since we had any significant snow that they forgot how it works around here. Always premature bust calls, even in some of the bigger events.

Heavier snow here now, with better flake size. Maybe tapping into that DGZ.

It does look like there is some heavier lake enhanced snow showers moving into eastern Ohio, on radar.

I don’t think we’ll get there because it’s supposed to fall in a 12 hour period. Don’t think there will be any 12 hour period with 3 inches or more.