SolidIcewx

Storm flare up just south of Ashburn

Gust front really put a damper on things it seems

Gust front from PG storm going through now in S. Alexandria. Hopefully something triggers?

Glad i left work when i did. Was off Craine Hwy today

Hopefully the stuff out west makes it into the metro.

Can hear the rumbling in S. Alexandria. Pretty impressive

Good thunder and lightning now with one of the new flare ups

Pretty crazy how consistent it was so far out. And for it to verify also.

Mesoscale Discussion 1491 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1149 AM CDT Sat Jul 04 2026 Areas affected...Much of Virginia...Maryland...and eastern West Virginia, Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 041649Z - 041915Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity while developing eastward through the afternoon. The primary concern will be scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is likely. DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorms are evolving along the high terrain in WV and southwestern VA this afternoon. Continued diurnal heating and orographic lift will favor increasing thunderstorm development over the next few hours. Downstream, strong diurnal heating/destabilization of a moist air mass (upper 60s to lower 70s dewpoints) beneath steep midlevel lapse rates (sampled by 12Z soundings) will support thunderstorm intensification through the afternoon. While fairly weak deep-layer shear may limit overall thunderstorm organization, the aforementioned environment will favor a mix of cells and loosely organized clusters capable of producing scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts across much of VA and eventually into MD. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is likely for this activity.

79 mph reported in Kalamazoo. Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 419 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT FOR CALHOUN AND KALAMAZOO COUNTIES... At 416 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Galesburg, or 7 miles east of Kalamazoo, moving east at 25 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR Eastside Kalamazoo, Galesburg, Climax. Will be in the vicinity of Battle Creek by 5 PM. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. At 405 PM EDT, 79 MPH was reported at Kalamazoo Airport. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

Enhanced risk now for southern MI. Storms on the west side looking nasty. Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0233 PM CDT Fri Jul 03 2026 Valid 032000Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO WESTERN IOWA AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... ...SUMMARY... A swath of damaging to severe gusts is expected across southern Lower Michigan over the next few hours. Scattered damaging gusts are also likely over portions of the Mid Atlantic. Otherwise, scattered wind damage and large hail are still expected from parts of Nebraska into Iowa today. Isolated to scattered severe storms remain possible extending eastward from the northern/central Plains into the Midwest and Tennessee Valley. ...20Z Update... The main change made to this outlook was to upgrade southern Lower MI to a Category 3/Enhanced Risk, driven by 30 percent/CIG1 wind probabilities. A cold-pool-driven MCS, with some bowing tendencies and a history of producing numerous measured gusts in the 60-70 mph, is rapidly approaching southern Lower MI. KGRR inbound velocity data shows a rear-inflow jet exists with this MCS, and surface observations/latest mesoanalysis show a favorable environment in place for bow-echo persistence. Surface temperatures are exceeding 90 F in spots, amid 70-75 F surface dewpoints, yielding a gradient of 1500-3500 J/kg MLCAPE. Up to 30 kts of effective bulk shear coincides with this buoyancy gradient, with vectors oriented normal to the MCS leading-line orientation. Therefore, the expectation is for a damaging wind swath to occur over southern Lower MI with the passage of this MCS. At least scattered gusts will likely exceed 50 kts in intensity, and a few of these gusts may exceed 75 mph. 30 percent wind-driven probabilities were also added over portions of eastern PA into far southeastern NY and NJ, where surface temperatures are exceeding 100 F in spots ahead of a developing multicellular cluster. While vertical wind shear is modest, the well-mixed boundary layer is yielding low-level lapse rates well over 8 C/km on a widespread basis, with corresponding DCAPE approaching 1500 J/kg. As such, several of the stronger storm cores may produce wet downbursts capable of at least tree/wire damage on a scattered basis, and a few severe gusts are also possible.

93/74/105 definitely hotter this morning. Morning jog had me soaked immediately.

104 on my porch. Had a beer and got too warm. I wonder how warm it’s gonna be tonight. Breaking a record warm low perhaps?

Sweating more than bonnie blue sitting in a catholic church..

101/74/115 at home in far southern Alexandria

97 and HI of 111 now

Just north of there working. Can confirm. Its cooking and im already soaked lol

89/76/100 outside of Laurel MD. Today and tomorrow gonna be a special one

86/76/96 where i am. I think a lot of us will be 90 by 10-1030.

98/75/112 at home in south Alexandria. Pool time

96/76/109 currently now. I felt the dews creep up the past hour.

93/74/103 where im working

84/70/89 at 930 here just outside of Laurel