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SolidIcewx

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Everything posted by SolidIcewx

  1. Nice heavy band making its way into Adrian MI. The start of the heavier snow for SEMI
  2. Gonna be interesting to see the variations in storm totals from west to east in the Detroit Metro.
  3. I had to explain to the lady at home on why the ac would stay on even if set higher. It was really toasty last night
  4. Going on 1130 and already have to change shirts at work. Going to be a fun few days. Can feel the air getting thicker as the morning goes on.
  5. It’s been awhile for a super long track derecho. See how it plays out.
  6. I was just reading into some of the old analogs. That’s a good one
  7. Cell in SW Wayne county starting to have that look to it
  8. @Chinook possible tornado damage in Fraser MI
  9. Mesoscale Discussion 1349 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0238 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 Areas affected...northern IN...southern Lower MI...northwest OH Concerning...Tornado Watch 434... Valid 181938Z - 182145Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 434 continues. SUMMARY...Northern, fast-moving portion of a QLCS should progress across the rest of northern Indiana into southern Lower Michigan and northwest Ohio through early evening. Damaging winds should be the main threat, but a tornado or two will be possible. Downstream watch issuance expected by 21Z. DISCUSSION...The northern portion of a QLCS has been steadily progressing east around 45 kts with a history of estimated to measured gusts of 55-70 mph. This fast-moving portion of the line has likely outpaced stronger low-level shear across southwest IN, per comparison of VWX and IWX VWP data. Given largely veered surface winds downstream and recent HRRR guidance, an outflow-dominated line will likely persist as it spreads into southern Lower MI and northwest OH through early evening. Damaging winds should remain the primary hazard, with a tornado or two possible in any QLCS mesovortices across northern IN.
  10. Just some wind is all I heard from the Utility end of things. Run of the mill radar indicated storm.
  11. I seen that had to call a couple coworkers and tell them to get inside. (They never look at the weather really)
  12. That was my thought as well. But this one would have a bit more of a northerly component compared to those storms. Coworker of mine told me her story of surviving the Palm Sunday f4 just a few months ago.
  13. Nebraska wedge was pretty insane from last night
  14. Im very curious to see how today plays out. Wonder if it will clear out a bit up my way. Had snow showers and sleet this morning. Some good rumbles of thunder and heavy rain. Let’s see what this evening brings
  15. If we had summer thermos I think I’d be safe to say we’d have a big problem on our hands.
  16. Power flashing on and off in Canton
  17. Im thinking the same thing. Kinda odd considering the MD that came out for the area
  18. Starting to clear out in MI for sure
  19. Mesoscale Discussion 0305 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Areas affected...Southern Lower Michigan...Northwest Ohio Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 301949Z - 302145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...An organized line of storms with a history of 60-85 mph wind gusts will continue into western Ohio and southern Lower Michigan. Risk for damaging winds will continue with more isolated/uncertain threats for large hail and tornadoes. DISCUSSION...An organized line of fast-moving storms continues northeastward through central/northern Indiana. Modest destabilization continues ahead of this line into portions of western Ohio and southern Lower Michigan. Given the organization of this line, potential for severe/damaging gusts will remain even as buoyancy tends to wane north and east. This line of storms has a history of producing wind gusts of 60-85 mph. Damaging winds will likely remain the primary risk. Isolated large hail could occur, but storm mode will mitigate that risk. Likewise, storm mode is also not optimal for tornadoes. Regional VAD winds and RAP forecast soundings do suggest some QLCS tornado risk will exist, but this risk diminishes with eastward extent. One or more watches will need to be considered for portions of western Ohio and southern Lower Michigan by 21Z.
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