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George001

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Everything posted by George001

  1. Even your area in NYC gets half a foot now on that. That’s a big shift south on the gfs.
  2. Not as much as it seems. 80 inches is a lot, but there’s a good chance Boston gets to 50 on Friday, probably more. Then there is the next week storm, which I am extremely bullish on due to how amplified the ridge out west is. There is a good chance Boston is at 60 or so inches headed into March (this is conservative based on the upper air pattern for the end of Feb) Then 20 or more inches on March.
  3. Boston will be close to if not over 80 inches by the end of the winter imo
  4. What about Feb 2nd 2015? It looks like this one is turning into a Miller B like that one was.
  5. Mid Atlantic is probably cooked with that look but it’s good for us since we are farther north. The se ridge prevent suppression, mid Atlantic rains while we get buried.
  6. New euro looks a little colder, primary doesn’t drive as far NW and a little more aggressive with the secondary redevelopment (Miller B).
  7. I buy that qpf, not sure how much is snow but I do think the models will trend more towards and earlier transfer and stronger secondary low. Also, can’t it snow east of the mid level lows? It did in the March 2017 storm with the mid levels way west.
  8. I agree with this. Our area south of the pike we probably won’t stay snow the whole storm, but we will get significant front end before any changeover.
  9. Euro and Canadian on board for 8-12 inches mid CT-RI north
  10. Holy shit that’s amazing up to 10 inches for my area
  11. Even if this doesn’t turn into a full blown Miller B, the models aren’t really showing much of a dry slot. A dry slot shutting off the precip early would lead to lower snow totals like some of the earlier Euro runs that maxed out at 6-7 inches.
  12. Yeah my earlier thoughts of someone possibly getting 18 is a long shot. The kuchera maps would show more but like you guys were saying earlier with the mid levels not being great those aren’t the way to go. The Canadian looked a little more aggressive with the secondary redevelopment which is a good sign.
  13. Canadian looks good. Shifted south a bit with the low, widespread 8-12.
  14. This one is good for us in SNE, but the next one on the 28th your area has a shot too.
  15. Then we have the possible polar vortex displacement or split, wouldnt do much until like 3rd week of March to early April. If that pans out, it’s very possible we get a big one in that timeframe on top of whatever we get late Feb-early March.
  16. All it takes is one storm to hit 21 inches, you can get that even in a bad pattern. This upcoming pattern looks great. At least 6-12 is looking likely Friday with possibly more of this trends to more of a Miller B, then a bigger storm threat Feb 28th. If that whiffs, we have more opportunities early March.
  17. Could we use my late winter finale thread for that
  18. Looks like we got another threat to track end of Feb after the Friday one.
  19. That looks juiced up from previous runs. A foot for areas that stay all snow, and my area looks like a little less (like 7-8) probably due to some mixing at the end.
  20. Yep, this could easily turn into a Miller B with snowfall totals much higher than typical swfes.
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