George001
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Everything posted by George001
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The GFS sucks, Euro has been outperforming it all year. -
somehow the gfs still gives my area a foot despite being so far east with the low.
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great start to the 0z runs. The Canadian looks like it came west.
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I can and will. Gfs has had issues with burying the the energy out west all year.
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It buried the energy out west like the RGEM
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Yep, the more energy that ejects the better. If the models that eject more energy are right, the low will be stronger and farther west, leading to increased snow and winds. This would result in a monster blizzard.
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The GEFS said it would be a big snowstorm for my area, but It rained a lot. The GEFS also was out to sea during the Dec 2020 storm, and jumped hundreds of miles west at like 2 days out.
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Maybe panicked over the 18z gefs run? The east solutions make no sense, gfs products are unreliable. At 500 mb it looked improved, it buried less energy out west.
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The nam didn’t bury as much energy out west
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That’s a very expansive precip shield
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Hopefully it trends back towards being a Miller B. Miller asshole finds a way to screw us.
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I have a question, wasnt the Boxing Day blizzard a Miller A? I would think Feb 2013 would be a better analog because it’s a Miller B.
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Yeah this looks great. Widespread 20+, it appears the Euro ejects more energy out of the southwest, where as the other models hold more energy back. The more energy that ejects, the higher the ceiling so hopefully we see the other models trend in the right direction with that.
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the euro is a straight up blizzard
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If that happens, could we see 4 feet+ jackpots?
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I agree, if this storm pans out like the models are saying it could be 80 in early Feb for all I care. Also there are signs that the early Feb warmup could be transient based on what I saw on the models with a gradient type pattern setting up.
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Holy shit that’s over 100 miles west of the last run, the low is much deeper as well. This could be the best run we have seen yet from any model.
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We got the Canadian back, from looking at the black and white maps, it looks like the low is both west and stronger. Great sign.
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This storm is so big getting 18 inches is considered getting screwed. 18 inches of snow would be the biggest storm I’ve had since March 2018, I’ll take that and run.
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The eps improved. A mean over a foot at 10:1 ratios (would likely be higher).
