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George001

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Everything posted by George001

  1. George001
    If I had to choose between no snow at all tomorrow and a Patriots win vs 2 feet of snow and a Patriots loss, I’m picking the Patriots win every time. As much as I like the snow, Boston sports comes first.
  2. George001
    I don’t get all the panic over the NAM. Personally, if I get 15 inches of snow and then taint I would consider that a huge win.
  3. George001
    Id like to get that 100 miles SE.
  4. George001
    Yeah, those daily 7am liquor store trips take a toll. I don’t drink, but I made a couple friends during my time in the nuthouse, and they called it “alcohol brain”. I’m not judging…. I have “weed brain” (years of my nightly 100mg+ RSO concentrate ritual… it definitely took a toll). Thats why I stick to shrooms now.
  5. George001
    The A in Miller A = asshole The B in Miller B = burial
  6. George001
    Note to self: Do NOT write off winter and check out in mid Jan, even if things don’t look great and it started slow. Peak climo in SNE is late Jan to mid Feb, historically that’s the timeframe where most of our huge storms happen. Winter doesn’t just end after mid January just because it’s a La Niña. 17-18, 21-22, hell even last year (not snowy, but our snowiest month was Feb, not December).
  7. George001
    Looks like I nailed it besides the blizzard thing (good chance the winds aren’t strong enough). Regardless, since this post the storm has trended hundreds of miles north on the models. This is going to be a burial, and I don’t think we are done. February is the snowiest month of the year for my area in terms of average monthly snowfall. If we do get a polar vortex split like @40/70 Benchmark has been talking about, March could be interesting too.
  8. George001
    yeah, that’s worth keeping an eye on. What really caught my attention is it is a miller B, not a miller A.
  9. George001
    Mixing getting into SNE is absolutely possible. In huge storms like this it can and does happen a lot, and the trough axis is pretty far west. I’m not saying it’s going to happen, but I’m keeping an open mind about the possibility given the setup and model trends. That said, if it happens it is what it is. I will be happy for the north.
  10. George001
    But….. it’s following the canonical front loaded Nina script, therefore I gotta ignore all guidance, stick to my guns, and continue being a raging insufferable asshole to everyone who disagrees with me.
  11. George001
    when the debate is whether we “only get 8-12” vs 18 ish, that’s a great spot to be in.
  12. George001
    Things change. A more northern track does introduce the risk for sleet/mix, it’s very common for SE Mass/cape to mix in these setups.
  13. George001
    Snows east of the low?
  14. George001
    Canadian looks even more north
  15. George001
    Gfs looks more amplified
  16. George001
    Ah I see what you are getting at. The STJ got active at times last winter too, and it was a La Niña with a La Niña subsurface. Point taken, It’s other factors that are driving the pattern, not ENSO. And that includes STJ activity.
  17. George001
    I don’t think Tony is entirely off base about the La Niña collapsing. While it is true that the surface is still solidly La Niña, the subsurface has warmed rapidly and is now warm neutral. I remember Chuck highlighted the importance of the subsurface a while ago. How big or small of a role do you think that is playing in terms of the now active STJ?
  18. George001
    It is looking increasingly likely that this upcoming blizzard will be the biggest region wide event since Jan 29th 2022.
  19. George001
    I agree, something big is going to happen.
  20. George001
    Bernie Rayno is favoring more of a northern track. He said in his video he’s not really buying what the gfs suite is selling.
  21. George001
    I’m not sure about the wagons south thing, it’s a massive storm. There is a lot of energy flying around.
  22. George001
    I just asked in the other thread how much you got, wow this ended up being a nice storm. I figured you got a lot, I was just outside the heaviest banding and got 5-6 inches. You were right in the middle of it, so this does not surprise me.
  23. George001
    Even non AI guidance has moved north. It’s still a whiff, but I like where we sit for this one. Btw how much snow did you end up getting?
  24. George001
    Looks like around 5 inches out there. I was a bit worried yesterday afternoon, but fortunately looks like the storm played out as expected here. Plowable snow + Pats W, what a weekend!
  25. George001
    I’m not getting anywhere near 8
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