TimB

That is interesting, and I’m not sure I have enough knowledge to really explain that. From a statistical perspective, I would caution you on the “warming was similar” statement: based on the second graph you provided, the trend line increases by about 0.3 degrees Celsius from 1880-1940 (0.005 degrees per year) and by about 1.0 degree Celsius from 1970-2015 (0.022 degrees per year). So the rate of warming was more than 4 times as fast during the latter period compared to the former. I’m not sure I would describe that as “similar.”

“The same type” is relatively meaningless. A Boeing 737 MAX and an Airbus A321 are roughly “the same type” of airplane. But I do my research when I book flights and wouldn’t book a flight on one of those two.

By a huge anti vaxxer, do you mean an anti vaxxer who is huge, or someone who is very anti vax? The former would make her very high risk.

He won’t get cancer, I’m sure that’s what he’ll tell you.

Baseball has plenty of players who are built like Bartolo Colon or David Wells or Prince Fielder, all of whom would have at least some risk of severe covid. Hell, I’m fairly certain that Babe Ruth would have died of covid if it had been around in his time. I get your point, but baseball might be the wrong sport to choose if we want to talk about extremely healthy people in athlete level shape.

I would rather my house be as cold as I can possibly stand so the next big warm-up (which thankfully looks to be at least a week or two away) has to work harder to bring uncomfortably warm temperatures to the inside of my house. But for those who want this kind of nonsense in April, the 6z GFS might give you some hope.

I’ve always been of the opinion that we don’t need two Dakotas, but lately I’ve been of the opinion that we don’t even need one Dakota.

I’m not an infectious disease specialist, but I would think the mortality rate for covid among “extremely healthy” people is greater than 1 in 6.8 million, which seems to be the mortality rate for the J&J vaccine (at least with respect to blood clots).

Is there a generally accepted meteorological definition for the dates that the “cold season” spans?

Though it does sound like the Pfizer is close to full approval and they are now seeking approval for 12-15 year olds. (This is good news for the “we need schools open as soon as humanly possible” crowd.)

Bad news indeed when a vaccine can be pulled because 0.0000009% of people had a side effect that, from what I can tell, didn’t kill them (I would assume if they died it would be in the article).

Oh, we know.

I know it’s just an example, but imagine how well that would go over with the segment of the population that disparages Bill Nye for not being a “real scientist” but has no problem with Dr. Phil, Dr. Oz, or Dr. Seuss.

Not sure precision was, though.

Take it easy on dta, maybe the past seven presidents of the United States have consulted him on infectious disease too.

I don’t think it’s a disservice to observers of the past to say that weather data was probably of much less importance to society than it is now. That’s not the observers’ fault.

His MD from Cornell and many decades of experience as an infectious disease specialist and as an advisor to seven different presidents (including four republicans) speak for themselves.

I think there are two possible ways to look at that (and I’m honestly not sure which is correct): 1. the El Niño of 1998 itself caused a longer-term shift in climate patterns. or 2. the El Niño of 1998 was the catalyst that gave anthropogenic climate change the push it needed to accelerate.

Where did I say he has to be right? But his opinion should be respected, and I would say it does prove he knows more about infectious disease than the people calling him a “clown” on a weather forum. But what do I know?

It’s really hard to take an argument, or the person presenting it, seriously when one refers to a guy with an MD from an Ivy League university as a “clown.”

That will still be countered with gerrymandering and laws (that would have been unconstitutional with any Supreme Court but the current one) designed to make sure fewer people vote. Georgia is writing the playbook that Texas, Florida, and NC will use.

So when it comes down to that, spring and fall are warmer than they’ve ever been, summer is warmer than it’s been in over 160 years, winter is almost as warm as it’s ever been, and the annual average is warmer than its ever been.

One could say using 90 years of data when we have 140 seems as arbitrary as using 10 years of data when we have 140. On the flip side, I can’t be the only one who thinks weather records from the 1800s are suspect due to technology or procedures or both. So it might be fair to look at 90 years. If we do that for Pittsburgh (my location), I typically only compare apples to apples and use data from 1948-present (when observations began being taken at the airport). And, considering only data from those 73 years, I think I determined that 8 of the 12 months of the year recorded their hottest average temperature on record within the past decade.

Pittsburgh is +6.3, and that includes near-record cold the first two days of the month. The upcoming pattern should moderate things a little, but it still looks like a few degrees either side of average for the most part, so you’re still looking at a positive anomaly unless we average well below normal the rest of the way. Should be our 10th above normal month out of the past 11, and that’s not long after an 18 month streak of above average from February 2016 to July 2017.

How naive of me to forget that the human race is comprised mostly of s***heads whose main objective in life is to s*** on other people every chance they get.