TimB
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Everything posted by TimB
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I forgot how bad of a miss that was. Looks like the initial D1 outlook had half of Iowa in a MRGL risk and a very small section of SE IA in a SLGT. By the time things got upgraded to a MDT risk and PDS watch, it was already too late.
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Love the Gordon Lightfoot reference but I vehemently disagree with this sentiment from their forecast discussion: This sets the stage for a winter storm to come terrorize the region Tuesday into Wednesday. Perhaps that`s a little dramatic, but lets face it. No one wants snow or cold at the end of April.
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Western PA/Pittsburgh Spring Discussion 2021
TimB replied to Ahoff's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thought I saw the NWS post the other day that the growing season has begun in Allegheny County and points south. A good frost at my place and hit 31 at the airport this morning. Must have been a complete surprise/more radiational cooling than expected, because I don’t think a frost advisory/freeze warning was issued. (Though I would say a freeze warning wouldn’t have been warranted, AGC and I imagine many other areas of the county only dropped to near 35.) -
True. We all see the CPC maps that have 90% of the CONUS above normal and just that section normal or below. And they occur for most of the year. So it shouldn’t surprise me, but any area having a monthly temperature anomaly of 27.5 degrees is noteworthy. I wouldn’t imagine any area of the CONUS has been +27.5 for a month.
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Found one. Great Falls, MT had 7 below normal months in 2019 including a February that was 27.5 below normal!
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I have a feeling Brazil will surpass us in deaths when it’s all said and done. And they have less than 2/3 our population...
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LOT and IWX at least have solid discussions. DTX’s looks very vague.
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Not sure where this should go, but does anyone know of any official climate site in the US that had at least 6 months that averaged below normal temperatures in the same calendar year from 2011-2020?
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Depends on what you define as a warm spell. I know what you mean, that people will attribute a week or two that is well above average to global warming, which is definitely asinine. But if the warm spell we’re talking about is many locations having 10 or 11 months per year with above normal temperatures, year after year after year, then it gets a little murkier. Edit: this is way off topic and we’re not going down this road in yet another thread. Agree to disagree.
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I don’t think when someone is talking about the “Eastern US”, anyone could possibly believe they’re talking about Texas...
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And therein lies one of the problems with these late season snowfalls. For non-weather enthusiasts, “but it snowed on April 20th” always trumps “March and April were both 5 or 6 degrees above normal” when it comes to discussing how a period fits into longer term climatology.
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I was looking at this yesterday and most climate sites in the Midwest and interior northeast were running 5+ degrees above normal for the month. I don’t think all of those gains will be completely erased at any climate site, so every climate site will finish April above normal.
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GFS really doubling down on its endless winter temps.
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Bottom line here is yes, winterwx21 is absolutely correct that physical fitness goes a long way to prevent covid from sending you to the hospital or killing you. On the other hand, “if you could just get your resting heart rate down to 32, covid will be nothing more than a mild cold” probably won’t be successful in getting many people off of their couches.
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There have been too God damn many of these since life has started to return to normal.
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I seem to remember just about every Memorial Day when I lived in Wisconsin, some news outlet or the NWS always documented the May 27-29, 1947 snowstorm that affected Wisconsin. Also, 4/12/07 and even 5/11/06 come to mind from when I lived up there (but I think the latter was just a dusting).
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This “fitness can prevent severe covid” debate is turning into the new “masks can make you sick.” At least this one has more legitimacy, but we’re beating a dead horse here.
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I’d bet that Potter County and the rest of the northern tier sees measurable snow next week as well.
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You’re right. Hiding the bad news from the public is never a good idea either.
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I just feel like this will fan the flames of vaccine hesitancy, and this has already been a bad week in that regard.
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I don’t immediately suspect a conspiracy. But a lot of people will. You’ve seen from this thread itself how many people throw rationality to the wind when it comes to this vaccine. I’m not saying he isn’t knowledgeable or privy to the issues at hand, but in my opinion he shouldn’t be the communicator of them.
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Ah, the optics don’t look quite as bad now that I see the updated article. I think Kessler is a more palatable source than a corporate bigwig is.
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I agree with this, but let’s remember that Pfizer is a business and isn’t necessarily just producing this vaccine out of the goodness of their hearts. I would argue that it’s fairly likely that a booster is required, but from an optics perspective that information should be provided to the general public by an actual medical expert (in human medicine), not the CEO of one of the biggest pharmaceutical companies in the world (who happens to be a DVM).
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Exactly. Pfizer didn’t do all this work only to produce a vaccine that didn’t require a booster that could allow them to make a killing off of American citizens and our artificially high drug prices.
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Interesting that this information is coming from the Pfizer CEO in this respect.
