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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    I think I would have too, but the worst thing we city folk have to worry about is brown grass and having to water plants a little more often.
  2. TimB
    Laura saved us. Otherwise could have been close to that.
  3. TimB
    GFS and Euro both suggest we could finish May at or above normal precip.
  4. TimB
    Of course it’s still out there, but the spine of the pandemic has been broken, especially in the US, thanks to a large number of people getting vaccinated. The vast majority of people getting covid in the US at this point are people getting covid by choice because they opted not to get vaccinated.
  5. TimB
    I should have specified *in the US*.
  6. TimB
    Yes.
  7. TimB
    Didn’t he start the mask debate yesterday by boasting about intimidating teenagers and women into not making him wear a mask? Don’t take the bait.
  8. TimB
    Assuming today ends up at about a -1 anomaly for temperature, it looks like we’ll need to average +7.9 the rest of the way to get the monthly average back to normal. Normals for May 18-31 average 74/53, so if we average 82/61 the rest of the way we’ll get there. Wouldn’t say it’s a guarantee but I think it’s far from impossible.
  9. TimB
    The hail loophole might be your only hope. Of course to get hail you need precip.
  10. TimB
    Actually looking at the June low maxes for Pittsburgh, I’m most impressed by the high of 54 on 6/21/1992 (but don’t remember it).
  11. TimB
    Apparently Pittsburgh topped out at 47 on 6/1/1910 so it wouldn’t be unprecedented. MDT’s record low max in June is 53 (6/2/1907).
  12. TimB
    I fully expect a GFS run at some point that suggests highs in the 40s in PA in June at hour 372 or something.
  13. TimB
    Awhile back we were inside the 540 line on the GFS in Western PA this upcoming weekend.
  14. TimB
    Not too worried yet, a 1.5” deficit is one that could easily be made up in one event.
  15. TimB
    I think we got enough rain last weekend to head off any potential drought concerns as long as this doesn’t persist for too long.
  16. TimB
    Yeah, my memory of humidity is purely anecdotal. The other thing here is lack of rain. We are currently on day 7 without measurable rainfall, with a solid chance of at least doubling that before our next good chance of rain. I would imagine that’s pretty uncommon in spring.
  17. TimB
    Warmth has always been here in May and September but I’m thinking more about the humidity - I feel like the 80s in the summer-adjacent months used to be a lot more comfortable with dews in the 40s and 50s. I don’t remember these times being humid periods with dewpoints mostly in the 60s prior to the last few years, but that could be memory being weird.
  18. TimB
    Days upon days of temperatures in the 80s and dewpoints in the 60s well before May is even over, and lasting well into September is our new normal around here.
  19. TimB
    Exactly. That’s all I’m going to say on that matter.
  20. TimB
    As a Pittsburgh person, I only intend to make this one post in this subforum, but I’ll just say I would guess there is a large overlap between the “businesses shouldn’t be allowed to refuse to serve people without masks” crowd and the “business owners should be able to make whatever business decisions they want on just about any other matter” crowd. It’s kind of hypocritical, and I would suggest that people who don’t want to respect an individual business owner’s decision consider that.
  21. TimB
    That said, it looks like CTP has bumped precip chances into the 50/50 category a lot of places. PBZ doesn’t have rain in the grids outside the mountains.
  22. TimB
    Upstream, it was entirely virga. Not a drop of rain.
  23. TimB
    You definitely have a better shot than we do tomorrow. Interestingly, NWS Pittsburgh is carrying 30-40% chances of precip imby every day this upcoming week except tomorrow and Tuesday. But we’re not cut off from the moisture feed as badly as you all are.
  24. TimB
    Out in Pittsburgh we are running a -7.4 anomaly so far, which I have no doubt will be mostly erased if not completely. So I’m very certain MDT will finish the month above normal. But the bigger story is precip chances for the next 10 days for just about anywhere in this state seem to be disappearing rapidly, to almost zero on the Euro.
  25. TimB
    Indeed, we probably have to average at least 80/60 the rest of the month to get there. I wouldn’t rule it out, but it really would require no cold air to break through the ridge until we hit June.
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