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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Usually we root for the GFS over the EC. Now it’s time to root against it.
  2. TimB
    GFS is ugly but WAY out of sync with both the EC and CMC. But yes. The 6z has that coastal deep in its run.
  3. TimB
    Look at that ridge. Hopefully it stays out there as we get closer.
  4. TimB
    You’d be correct:
  5. TimB
    Seasonable is fine with me.
  6. TimB
    It’s getting to the point where the Phillies almost certainly have to sweep the Braves next week to get into the playoffs.
  7. TimB
    I don’t think it’s bad at all, it’s just the recent theme of being conditioned to accept a fall where the “cool downs” are basically normal temps.
  8. TimB
    I get 22 days a year.
  9. TimB
    I’m in Cancun the last week of October. It’s a tremendous risk when it comes to missing the first flakes.
  10. TimB
    Hasn’t been a single flake east of the continental divide on any model run for days.
  11. TimB
    SPC slight risk (5/15/0 probabilities) area coincides very closely with PBZ’s domain, for what it’s worth.
  12. TimB
    I think the first half of next week will be at least a hair above the normals of 71/51. Nothing extreme.
  13. TimB
    Should be interesting. Nonzero tornado risk, though the parameters don’t seem that impressive.
  14. TimB
    Yes, the interface is much less tedious on TT. It’s a trade off.
  15. TimB
    I rarely use TT, as you’ve probably seen from the images I post on here. LOL
  16. TimB
    Overnight model runs aren’t showing anything I find unacceptable, seasonable late Sept/early Oct weather.
  17. TimB
    Was hoping for more than a day or two of slightly below normal before we revert back to normal or slightly above, but beggars can’t be choosers.
  18. TimB
    18z GFS is a bit better than 12z. Still a couple toasty days but not the gates of hell by October standards.
  19. TimB
    That ridge is impressive but not centered over PA...yet.
  20. TimB
    Still gives a solid Wednesday. Early week is hot.
  21. TimB
    Yeah, we’re toast.
  22. TimB
    We’ll see what the EC says. Yesterday it had a deep trough in that timeframe.
  23. TimB
    Was hoping to turn off my a/c for good this week. The fact that I haven’t on 9/21 is already ridiculous and stupid, but now there’s a chance I can’t until October.
  24. TimB
    Next week has trended above. Nothing like starting October with a few +10s to +15s to cripple the chances of a below normal month. Despite the normals going up by a lot, PIT could still be 6/10 on above normal months this year and MDT will be even more than that.
  25. TimB
    Could legitimately get 1, maybe 2 days below normal out of this pattern.
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