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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. Looks like we’ll clinch the warmest October since 1949 and 2nd warmest all time if you exclude all the pre-KPIT clutter. (8th if you include it)
  2. Won’t post the fantasy land 6z GFS clown map because it’s fantasy land and I don’t get a flake out of it, but I’m sure one of you will.
  3. CMC really dumps some polar air into the central US at the end of its run.
  4. Yes, and it’s the record winter for Pittsburgh overall.
  5. It’s looking very possible that our low of 37 the other day could be our only low in the 30s as we enter November. There have been 9 times in recorded history that the temperature hasn’t gotten to 36 or lower by the end of October, and only two at KPIT. Latest first 36 is 11/9/1902. The latest in the KPIT era? 11/5/1950. Let’s hope this winter is at least a little like that one.
  6. But could the warmer start to the week make a difference when it comes to that all time October record?
  7. It sticks in my mind that the record Oct at MDT is a +6.5 departure relative to the current normals. So if month to date is +7.5, it would take a +4.5 or so the rest of the way to “achieve” such ignominy. The warm nights could make it close.
  8. Would not be surprised at all to see a confirmed tornado in Hampton. Way too close.
  9. They keep saying it’ll dissipate after sunset but the tornado warnings have entered PA. Edit: oh, the first line. That’s questionable.
  10. Meh, CMC looks like a bunch of ups and downs. An ugly day here and there.
  11. Probably add on a little bit for Pillow, the rain, heat, and cold capital of PA.
  12. The models really, really backed off on the northward extent of the heat next week. And it’s not just the GFS, the Euro did too, albeit to a lesser extent.
  13. Sometimes this hobby causes us to think about things we shouldn’t. Like possible unseasonable warmth I won’t even have to contend with because I won’t be home (and will in fact be in an even warmer, more humid locale). Not even sure it’s rational that it bothers me.
  14. Yep, just went and looked. I see a 77 in there for me on the GFS and a 75 on the EC, but should I really complain if I won’t be here on those days?
  15. Looks like the official low will be 37, so we’re safe from that record.
  16. @Bubbler86, my weather app shows warmer for days 6-10 than it did yesterday. Haven’t looked at the overnight models yet, but I assume I can safely say they’re bad?
  17. EC paints a much better picture for the cooler period next week.
  18. EC is definitely (surprisingly) our friend for those of us that are ready for it. Even gives us a freeze at the end of its run.
  19. How soon after the injury was the wave? I missed it too, but I’ll admit that initially, before I realized the severity, I thought it might be one of those injuries where the player stayed down longer than he needed to, for momentum reasons.
  20. Latest first freeze is 11/21/1922. Latest first freeze in the KPIT era is 11/11/1994. It’ll be interesting to see what happens for sure. The 10/26 date is the latest first 30s. First freeze has been in November 39 times on record.
  21. There are exactly 8 times we’ve made it past today’s date without dropping into the 30s, and 7 of those 8 occurred prior to the KPIT era. Record is 10/26. Weekend looks a tad warmer than it did before. Another alarming record is in jeopardy.
  22. Isn’t that the guy Tomlin didn’t trust to kick a 45 or so yarder against WFT last year in a tie game with a few minutes to play? (That’s a shot at Tomlin, not at this kid. Good for him!)
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