TimB
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Everything posted by TimB
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Of course there will be. I don’t believe that anyone finishes the winter with single digit snow totals or anything like that. We’re still a month or so from optimal climo. It probably won’t be like last winter and I’ve accepted that.
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I really do think it will and hope it will, but have braced myself for the nonzero chance that it won’t. That’s all I’m saying.
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0z CMC Ensemble at 384: 0z GFS Ensemble at 384: If I squint long enough at the GFS one it kinda looks like maybe it could be more favorable.
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I’ll believe it when we can go a day without seeing 60s in the long term on a GFS run.
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That’s the thing. This could be like ‘15-‘16 and turn around with the new year, but it could just as easily be like ‘19-‘20.
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Hadn’t gotten to the Euro yet. Love it! Warm tongue definitely makes it a snow to rain to snow scenario verbatim, but nothing we haven’t seen around these parts.
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Yep. Don’t look at Christmas on the 6z.
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The fact that it wasn’t mentioned again in here can’t be good.
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All a bunch of bastards if you ask me.
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Joe’s long lost twin.
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Cold air does pour in behind it. Who knows how long it’ll last. My guess is not long.
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Yeah that’s what I mean. People romanticize the ‘90s as having been a snow lover’s dream but it really wasn’t.
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GFS hasn’t really been on the Saturday heat train for next weekend, and hopefully that domino never falls.
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A few winters of that decade were amazing, but the bad ones were incredibly bad. Kinda like the 2010s.
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Looks like sadly that’s correct, and the CMC is on board with it too. And the Euro ensemble has ridging out to 240.
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Without looking at the model, I’m going to guess based on your post that it’s still saying next Saturday will be just as warm as this one.
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It’s a complete and total embarrassment. This defense is a disgrace to the rich history of this organization. (And I say this without even a reference to the offense that has yet to score.)
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In fact, the warmest panel at MDT on the entire EC run is 18z on Saturday the 18th.
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And the EC seems to be preparing to provide some bad news for next weekend.
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A brief shot of dry cold, then…… another cutter.
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And a Midwest cutter that torches the East. Yawn.
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Would be something of interest in this boring pattern. Doesn’t even have to be anything close to severe as far as I’m concerned, a good garden variety t-storm would be satisfying.
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Someone should have told him not to show up in the MA sub right before another snowstorm bust.
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SPC also introduced a marginal risk of severe on D3 (Saturday) for MDT and points SE.
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But alas, he made the fatal error of posting a run of the Euro where he shouldn’t have.
