SnowenOutThere

The 5h trend is impressive. Going from a complete wall to a nice gap that could allow amplification is nice. TBH I was ignoring this one but will be paying attention now on out.

You can't cliff jump if nobody is there.

Sleep lmao

I plan to hike Dolly Sods or Blackwater falls the 2nd of Jan. Does anyone know the best (aka most plowed) way to get into those areas? I have a 2011 Honda CRV which has good all wheel drive but low clearance (7in) so I probably shouldn't try driving it on 10 inches of fresh snow.

Euro brings us a small hit tonight

I’m down with running back January 3rd of last year. Sorta funny how that squall kicked off an active period too!

We may have different definitions of "teeing up a hit". The h5 is way too large and not amplified.

Cmon Ji think about it this way, we just gained over an inch of rain in one run!

People sleeping on the 240 hour CMC. Would be an absolute smackdown

Was gonna comment on it but damn its a crazy H5 look yet we lose thermals before the precip enters southern VA

I agree. I would definitely be more excited for this one if I was in Cvill or down where you are as it stands its far enough out to see a shift that ends up favoring us. The individual ens low pressures really just need a couple hundred mile shift and we'd be in business.

The issue isn't that the pattern isn't blocky as shown by this ridiculous 500mb map But instead that the southern shortwave which delivers our storm is just barely captured and amplified by the northern ULL. We are genuinely like 12 hours away from a complete nuclear capture scenario with the displaced ULL and the southern energy fully phasing instead of just helping it gain latitude. I mean just look at how close we get to greatness. Though arguably the best part about the Euro run is that even after this storm we are still in a great pattern. We lose the Atlantic a bit but still have a great EPO and PNA with an active southern stream. Would be a fun time and great to see the pattern reflected in the OPs.

Damn you just beat me too it. I was too busy looking at the 500mb and surface maps to guess how much we'd get. Tbh I expected a bit more with such a textbook look but the storm moves quick

As mentioned by other posters the time period after this particular storm signal look to be more promising but I really cant help but like this depiction for the 4th. We have a good amount of vorticity to our south, a block to our north, and surface low pressure across Georgia in a position to bring in both gulf and Atlantic moisture. Of course, as depicted the bowling ball to our north would suppress the storm but for a week out I really can't hate it. We just need to see the trends but as it currently stands it is more than trackable.

Managing to snow again here. One great thing about this storm has been good snowflake growth and size. If only we managed to get the qdf or avoid the warm air aloft