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About SnowenOutThere

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
IAD
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Location:
Fairfax/UVA
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I mean it won’t happen but those are (to my relatively novice eye) insane soundings. I mean what crazy low level shear both speed and directionally. Not to mention 7 c/km ML lapse rates and high cape. It won’t verify, but maybe we can at least snag a decent nighttime storm.- 1,184 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The southern boundary has just cleared my backyard and it’s legit. Good gusts and most impressively it’s not a one and done but sustained southerly winds for over 5 minutes now.- 1,184 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Interesting boundary collision is gonna happen right west/east along the Dulles toll road.- 1,184 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The boundary which is moving northward into NOVA seems to be popping a bunch of storms off it now. The main cell south of manassas looks rough with 70mph winds in its core. May angle to get me with a direct hit.- 1,184 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I suppose memorable is a sliding scale. I didn’t mean to imply we’ll see a widespread tornado or severe outbreak, but I think it might be a day where we reference it by date in the future when discussing upcoming severe systems.- 1,184 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think we may be in the best severe setup of the year. We’re over 5000 CAPE, have 40 kt 0-6km shear, and okay enough ML lapse rates. There’s even 100+ surface helicity according to mesoanalysis! The smoke seems to also be inhibiting storm crowding by keeping or LL lapse rates down too. The storms now popping up on radar all have the bean look of supercellular development. We may be in for a memorable day. @vortex95 @high risk@WxUSAF@wxmeddler would love to hear your updated thoughts as storms begin firing! Also, just checked and our composite indices are crazy! We’re at 8 in Nova for supercells and 1 for sig tor (2 east of Baltimore)- 1,184 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Storm near Madison VA is rotating. Has a well defined mesocyclone on radar, and it’s even further from the warm front than most of us.- 1,184 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Can tell you the pool deck in chantilly suddenly got hot in the past 20 minutes as there’s a break in the clouds. Shot up from humid and cool to hot and extremely uncomfortable quick.- 1,184 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Did the models account for this or are we failing as per usual?- 1,184 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Our solar output is pretty abysmal right now. Between high alt clouds and the smoke we need something to change if we want severe to verify.- 1,184 replies
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I find the argument “I lived through worse AQI and we still had events” so weird. Back then, we didn’t how bad it was for you and it was normalized so of course you held events in air which damaged your lungs, you didn’t know better! Now we do, so correspondingly we cancel. It’s like complaining that people wash their hands because we learned germ theory!
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Looks like MD has the worst of the plume on vis sat.
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Looks like we get another round later today in the afternoon from our NW.
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Wanted to ask you or other Mets if the CSL (swim league) should consider moving divisionals, our league wide qualifying meet for all stars, to Sunday. Warmups start 6am and meet starts 8am, ends by 12pm. @NorthArlington101 if you have any thoughts lmk.
