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About SnowenOutThere

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
IAD
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Location:
Fairfax/UVA
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Those same cells (weakening ofc as they move out of the best thermodynamic environment into the wedge) are approaching UVA and Tech (though further SW like Tech got clearing and now has 1000+ SBCAPE) so will be interesting to see if they can at least hold together enough/become elevated and drop good rain and thunder. Charlottesville itself has gotten split the whole past week and needs a good downpour.- 305 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
My point is this storm deserved a Tornado warning at some point in its lifespan.- 305 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I don't like to criticize the NWS but Charleston dropped the T-storm warning and now has this completely unwarned as it approaches a town which just seems really bad and one of the worst misses I've seen when it comes to tornado signatures. It had a better circulation and more lofted debris ball beforehand too! It even had a separate debris ball 30 minutes ago now!- 305 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Cell I was talking about in WV has a well defined couplet with a debris ball though is still under a severe T-storm warning- 305 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Actual analysis and honestly, I think SW VA and especially eastern WV might be in for an interesting evening. Though we are socked in the wedge; WV and points west of Shenandoah will clear out high level clouds and are getting surface heating, as a consequence we are seeing CAPE values rise past 1000 pretty quick. The three hour CAPE change really shows that area of clearing in the warm sector ahead of the front too. If we are able to burn enough of the low clouds (which is doubtful) then even central VA could get some surface based storms. Our surface LRs do suck - as expected - but clearly that's not stopping rotating supercells from occurring at time of writing in WV. After all our wind environment is on the "concerning" side for what we usually see in our area. We have good turning with height (seen with HRRR predicted sounding for Cvill). I mainly felt compelled to make this post after seeing the cell over central WV which has a nice rotating updraft and hook echo. Feels like tonight is a night that probably won't see anything happen; but, on a rare chance could be a night to remember for some unlucky folks.- 305 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Great, really need UVA to get slabbed to cancel my finals so I'm putting all my eggs in this basket.- 305 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I wasn't alive for the storm but reading the Wikipedia article and apparently the tornado warning was issued with only a 5 minute warning time for the city itself. Just crazy to think about and how far we've managed to come since then. Shows the value that the NWS and research provides us and what happens when they are neglected or undeveloped. Also sort of neat that it added to the conversation to change to the EF instead of the regular F scale.- 305 replies
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You know as well as I do that calling my posts ludicrous was a political statement by itself. It is cowardly to then turn your tail and run when confronted by making an accusation. Either stay silent or be prepared to answer for your remarks - I am not the one who brought "political stuff" up... unless you think the claim that curiosity and engaging with others is inherently "woke"
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
SPC has us in a day three marginal risk which prompted me to take a look NAM has a line of broken storms enter the region after a bit of clearing with 1000 CAPE values running right along I-64. We have 40-50kt of bulk shear and a good bit of lower level turning. Reminds me a bit of March 15th but less extreme and maybe a bit more heating. Wonder what yall think about it- 305 replies
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The rain gives it a certain vibe. I don't mind it when I'm walking around UVA.
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I just think we all need to be kinder to one another. Not some grand project of ideology or anything, but just why not be nice to the people you meet, assuming ill intent or expectations (this is beyond Cape's og post ofc) of others you don't know burdens yourself and them. That said, please I want to know what you consider my "ludicrous posts" are.
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I feel like we tend to get at least a couple days with storms in April even if our bread and butter months is mid May through July. We had March 15th this year and then just nothing.
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Taking this to banter but @Maestrobjwa is right. He just asked a question there was absolutely no need for any attitude. As a society we shouldn't treat others curiosity or questions as a "ever heard of google" and not my problem! They are opportunities to learn and engage with people. A comic I love describes what I think to a tee.
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Leaving UVA for the semester next Friday and I'm pissed now that I've realized I won't get a single shot of a shelf cloud over grounds. There hasn't even been a single opportunity! Seriously, our severe weather game this year seems unusually weak.
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Cville is getting split bad by two storms passing just north or south of it.
