SnowenOutThere

That’s my worry with this storm. It’s relying so much on so little energy getting amplified by a NS wave playing nice.

This is the setup that has had the second highest likelihood of all our storms so far this year. Simple, easy way to win.

Man I wanna analyze this setup synoptically but I don’t got the time with midterms. Either way I like what I see for a nice little wave of years past. 2013-2014 vibes of a nice snow to lighter frozen precip.

Nah we getting March 29th to remember. Superstorm 93 redux with 2016 characteristics due to the strat warming

thank you so much. This is now my all time favorite post on this entire forum. You are truly a master at work and I mean that non sarcastically. Between the random zeros and dots it’s a modern day masterpiece.

Next tell him your salary!

Something something those who live in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones

We’re gonna hit all 4 and get an epic series of light snow on snow events just you watch.

Quick question but did the Norlun trough ever do its thing? Seemed like most of the snow I got (probably 4-5 inches fell from the air but 3.2 OTG) was during the hours of 4-6pm with the FGEN from the coastal.

Pictures from my final Jebwalk up in NOVA before I head back south to UVA.

Right to Charlottesville

Just now finishing up a 3 mile post storm jebwalk. No complaints about this storm. Was beautiful and have all the trees a nice coating.

Not sure I buy IAD total. I have to be around 3.2 otg

Ehhhh the H5 setup is more B than A. Honestly it’s a freak setup where the jet streams aren’t doing what they should be for a miller storm but they manage to still get positioned correctly

True, but from an upper level perspective we were always relying on everything going right on those runs. We had the initial phase out west work perfectly, then we had the secondary vort help negatively tilt the trough super early. Then we had a strong enough primary low and SW vort that didn't run out east too quickly... there were just so, so many steps required to get those amazing snow maps. Not that someday the stars won't align but every individual storm you can bet against the snow maps until they are supported by a reasonable synoptic progression. IMO this is why the Jan 25th storm hurt so much because for once we had the H5 setup that was a reasonable, even expected, way to get a 2ft plus storm... then the stars aligned to turn it into a sleetfest. On the other hand this storm didn't really deserve the expectations placed upon it by the snowfall maps.