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SnowenOutThere

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About SnowenOutThere

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    IAD
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Fairfax/UVA

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  1. SnowenOutThere
    The bay/river boundary pushing across ffx county is desperately trying to get a storm going up over Reston. Have watched it grow for the past 10 minutes.
  2. SnowenOutThere
    Got a flush hit with the ffx cell. Ominous vibes as the first half of the storm had ever increasing rainfall rates that climbed past 1, then 2, then 3 inch/hour as gusts of wind came through. Hit the peak of 3.4 inch/hour as the wind died out, some of the heaviest rates I’ve ever seen. Made even my family come out to look. Still pouring but estimating I’ll finish around a bit above an inch (maybe more if the secondary cell over Dulles hits too). If you look at a longer radar loop (codnexrad is my favorite site for that) you can see how the outflow boundary from MD interacted with the leftover boundary in western fairfax to pop the storms right along it. Neat stuff.
  3. SnowenOutThere
    Ngl I’m getting better at this whole forecasting thing.
  4. SnowenOutThere
    Good boundary is moving south. Seems there might be an old remnant (from yesterday I guess) one north to south across western ffx county as well. Maybe that with the Reston UHI/city convergence can get something going.
  5. SnowenOutThere
    I agree with that take but wonder how it would go without a change into cross polar flow. When we rely on home grown cold it might be different.
  6. SnowenOutThere
    Do you think the setup would still work with climate change? I ask as typically when our pattern is shit it takes a good while to ever get cold again.
  7. SnowenOutThere
    This is the most pity of pity MDs released.
  8. SnowenOutThere
    If I had to guess our horrible lapse rates are doing something. We are sitting around 5.5 ml lapse rates which nearly puts us to a stable atmosphere.
  9. SnowenOutThere
    What about on the edge of an actual MD day? I always find those worse.
  10. SnowenOutThere
    3k NAM has a neat cyclonic feature near Kentucky that lasts all Sunday.
  11. SnowenOutThere
    There’s now a well defined hook on radar.
  12. SnowenOutThere
    That MD cell has some storm rotation. Not tight or anything but I’m sure someone will get a nice storm picture of a sculpted base or something.
  13. SnowenOutThere
    Checked the mesoscale discussion and didn’t realize we are well over 3000 CAPE currently in the region. You can see the best forcing is still out in WV with all the pop up storms before it moves east later. Got LL lapse rates heading to 8+ c/km. Our hodographs are weak but not terrible too. I made a more detailed write up of today last night in the severe thread but we could see something interesting today. Got a severe T-storm parameter of 4 right now as well!
  14. SnowenOutThere
    I’ve said this in the past but man flash flood watches should not have been discontinued. A flood watch is far too broad of a product that tries to handle widespread synoptic setups that are more river flood based and pop up storms that dump over a small area and cause extreme flash flooding.
  15. SnowenOutThere
    Jokes aside aren’t we staring down a likely east based strong to very strong El Niño? I take climatology in the fall but my base teleconnections knowledge say that it won’t snow much.
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