SnowenOutThere

Just submitted my application to intern at the NWS for summer 2026!

Dude look at the H5 vort map on the 18z Euro and see how perfect it all went. It's not impossible but I wouldn't call it likely. As a side note after this storm instead of seeing how storms might succeed my analysis is based on how they could fail as that grounds it better considering our reality.

I looked under the hood at the H5 vorticity maps and man this one will be hard to get right. Its a bunch of energy that retrogrades under the block in the NS that dives south while a piece of NS energy out of Canada dives south and picks up moisture. Personally, I think the odds of all of this happening is pretty low. I'll check out of this till Wednesday at least

Freezing rain has begun as the fire hose of a cold front chugs by

Ultimately I'm glad I stayed down here for the storm. Though I am jelous of the people (including my family) who got 5 inches of snow and then 2 inches of sleet instead of 2 inches of snow and 3-4 inches of sleet. Also I look to get dryslotted for a bit but the convective sleet showers beforehand mean business.

UVA in the sleet! Will be a memorable storm.

Considering its still sleeting heavily way down here I think that you'll be okay. I will be slightly disappointed if I get no freezing rain to make the trees pretty so hopefully I get the switch soon.

Looking like I'll get dryslotted in the next hour after heavy sleet showers. Measured 5in of snow/sleet. Wonder if I'll get any freezing rain.

Anyone know where the freezing rain line is?

Doesn’t matter so much for sleet/freezing rain. As long as the 850 down to surface is sub freezing we prob don’t have enough warmth in the atmosphere to get ice.

Lmk your storm total. Interested to see how it compares to mine The SPC meso analysis shows our 850 temps well into the negatives still so we’re probably safe for a while.

Yep. Just saw sheets of sleet. Wonder when we’ll flip to freezing rain

It’s not. Really fun burst of sleet though!

If it makes anyone feel better UVA general public is currently experiencing the heartbreak that we’ve been drip feed for a week all at once. Lots of posts of how could this happen and where’s my 15 inches.

Measured 4 inches of frozen OTG. Just pounding sleet out right now. Roughly 2 inches of sleet already with a ton more precip to go.