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SnowenOutThere

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About SnowenOutThere

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    IAD
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Fairfax/UVA

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  1. I think theres a core issue here with Tor warnings in general. That being, even if there is a TOR, only a very small area of the warning will be actively impacted by the TOR itself. In that regard nearly every TOR warning is an "overwarning" as most of the square mileage of the warning won't be directly affected. For that reason, I think its fine to issue TOR warnings when the radar shows support one may develop as they are meant to be a predictor of a high chance one may occur. If the public fatigued its because they don't understand how warnings work in general. Therefore, the solution isn't to start underwarning but to educate people.
  2. Fairfax county is an absolute embarrassment on that map.
  3. The Fairfax county split is pretty pronounced today. Hoping the storms near Winchester can rotate in?
  4. They seem to have a bit of a severe shape to them. Not as extreme as last week when we had better hodographs, but still a good warm sector flow with some organization. The main thing I like seeing is the line of storms swinging into MD starting to fill in a bit more.
  5. I like that implies we will get upstream storms, so at the very least we should get a nice rainy/thundery evening from whatever remnants can make it our way. Sort of similar to our last setup and getting the MCS from WV.
  6. I went to backwater falls last January and it was pretty nice. The “trail” is pretty much a straight walkway down to the falls and there’s some pretty nice photography to be done there. I ditched and just did a long exposure of the water/ice in the snow as the lighting was bad when I went. It’ll probably be crowded, there were several families there even in the dead of winter, so that sorta sucked. Worth a small detour, but I personally loved the red river area far more and plan to go back sometime this or next week (and chimney rocks looks sick, but that’s further from deep creek).
  7. Can see the clearing happening everywhere around my house on Sat, but ground truth is still cloudy with some haze. That said, think we could be in for a decent severe wx day, we got the parameters for a good squall/MCS so maybe we get lucky and have a nice shelf cloud.
  8. You know more than me of course, but I have to think we’re seeing the pattern shift happening. We’ve now had a string of strong lows move by to our north, which if it wasn’t mid summer and the thermal boundary wasn’t up in Canada they would be our synoptic rainfalls instead of convection along the cold front. Now this week looks to have a cutoff low over the northeast that dumps rain too. We still might have some dry periods but it seems, to me at least, the real drought period is over.
  9. Man, the silver line extends out to Reston for a reason. You’d get a whole 30 minutes to maybe even an hour of more snow before the flip to rain in our warmer 2016 redux.
  10. Took advantage of the excellent weather yesterday to hike sky meadows. Only an hour ride from NOVA and nearly a straight shot on 66 West. Wasn't expecting too much, but was blown away by the views it offered. Highly recommend to anyone wanting to go on a relatively easy escape into nature. Best part of course was the weather. Mid to low 70s in the forest with nice dewpoints too. Also had the moon as nice friend the whole hike!
  11. Beautiful morning out. On ffx county parkway where it overpasses 50 could finally see past the blue ridge way to the distant mountains. Otherwise, mid 60s and low humidity means I get to wear a jacket today to coach!
  12. Not enough people are talking about the legendary stretch of weather coming up from tomorrow till Saturday. Highs barely past 80 degrees and dewpoints in the low to mid 50s in MID JULY. It’ll be the first look ahead to fall weather wise!
  13. Think I'll get to the herndon metro tower as my chase spot. Looks to get a good view as it comes in.
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