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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. Chicago916
    I'm near ya too! I'm in Avondale myself.
  2. Chicago916
    Someone show the maximum snowfall amount at the end of the HRRR for everyone
  3. Chicago916
    late run 18z HRRR joins the rest of the models in this big time
  4. Chicago916
    How's the HRW FV3 model been? I'm assuming not good with winter events? The weenie in me is binning it with other higher resolution models that are shifting North.
  5. Chicago916
    I could so envision a scenario where Cook gets to 10" plus by getting lucky with the frotogenetic band and then additional lake effect/enhancement while the main storm passes Southeast.
  6. Chicago916
    I saw that haha. I'd love to see that individual member
  7. Chicago916
    And SREF is also still NW. Grasping at straws lol
  8. Chicago916
    I keep remembering this winter one of these forecast originally in NIL and it ended up in southern WI. Not 100% but pretty sure it happened.
  9. Chicago916
    I was talking about the 21Z which is even better and obviously doesn't cover the main event. Plumes are terrible though at long range, so just watching how they trend.
  10. Chicago916
    Tom Skilling would never
  11. Chicago916
    SREF plumes coming in hot for ORD
  12. Chicago916
    Euro ensembles should be very interesting
  13. Chicago916
    And another jump of 11" to 20"+ NW to SE
  14. Chicago916
    Hasn't fully loaded yet, but looks like almost all GFS ensemble members are north of the OP with the overrunning snows?
  15. Chicago916
    Odds we see aircraft sampling of the disturbance in the Pacific given potential large impacts?
  16. Chicago916
    As expected, lots of amped GFS ensemble members
  17. Chicago916
    The CIPS top analogs show a ton of big hitters (majority including Chicago).
  18. Chicago916
    Bump
  19. Chicago916
    Probably posted here before, but another fun mesoscale model I look at here has been depicting the north/ central Cook bullseye too on its member #1 that just updated. http://hopwrf.info/
  20. Chicago916
    West trend in the lake band didn't correct back yet. Likely headlines for Cook soon? Bet lots of people will be caught off guard for tomorrow morning's commute.
  21. Chicago916
    I take it this is a faux wagons west that will correct back east? I would've expected people to at least get hopes up since the trend hasn't stopped yet?
  22. Chicago916
    Very small flake size in the city still but it got a lot heavier the last few minutes, backed up by radar returns too
  23. Chicago916
    Tons more moisture robbing from those Ohio Valley storms https://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/animations/NEXLABdpdt-12Z-20220102_NAMMW_prec_precacc-50-100.gif
  24. Chicago916
    More negative tilt to the secondary wave as well so far?
  25. Chicago916
    Haven't seen much talk about possible lake enhancement, but seeing hints of it at the end of the 3km NAM (obvious long range caveats apply)
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