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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. its coming....just can't have any pushes SE again, the confluence kinda ran off, even early on in the run. Hopefully it is right. If it continues to push north, that zone down in Jersey might push further north like the Icon had.
  2. Great looking run, looks like some goodies further northwest than the maps have the qpf at as well....region wide 8-12 inch storm there
  3. firehose is going to come from the cutter next week....I think we can give this until tomorrow afternoon to see if we are still "in it" otherwise it is congrats to the Mid Atlantic...but who knows, it might end up being congrats North Carolina again, so we track for now
  4. it does, definitely a hair to the SE from prior runs, but sort of looks like the 12z NAM, for what its worth....
  5. Wonder how well the new GFS does with things like confluence to our northeast with regards to the old GFS? Might be a good way to look at which model might have a clue at least? Clearly there has been a bit of a difference between the to with regards to our sensible weather here in the northeast.
  6. Stronger confluence on the GFS so far...here comes the 12z shift SE, minus the NAM...guess the Euro goes NW
  7. I still think 6 inches is our magic number here...anything over that number will be awesome. Is it snowing at your place right now? We have had legit light snow here since sunrise...blowing sideways and its only 8⁰, looks like the tundra out there
  8. Had a nice squall around 430 am that triggered the security camera...flakes flying at the moment, 8.0⁰...might be the only snow I see over the next 2 weeks.
  9. landfall in Bermuda... This is where I check out until Saturday 12z....trends are not our friend right now
  10. Hope for 6 at this point...I think our area needs to wait until at least the Nam is dumping feet to our south to know which way this might go and hopefully the look that NYC and points south has right now shifts enough north to hit us, because we all know what will happen if it does not....2015 all over again
  11. we need to come to the realization that there will not be a JP for us here.....I think in the end, anything over 6 inches will be a win for us....But then again we were the JP region on the models for this last system and we know how that worked out
  12. I have seen this in the past on the ensembles and in the end it never really ends up looking like that. If it does, it isn't really that extreme. I guess the devil is in the details, but I don't think anyone would be disappointed with that look, unless you are looking to score the biggest accumulations.
  13. yup....second biggest storm of the season by Feb...it will be washed away after the massive cutter whether it was 12 inches or 5 anyway
  14. yup, just sold it after the last halt...but it is still skyrocketing
  15. unreal watching some of these....bought NAKD weeks back with JAGX.....penny stocks, 0.34 and 0.81....where did NAKD come from!?!?!
  16. we dryslot and still get a foot of snow...I will take that any day and hope the details are better when we get closer, for the better of course....
  17. Just sitting at the mouth of the Chesapeake waiting for the energy to catch up...come on north!!!
  18. This is the time period when the models sort of lose the system...not worried
  19. 2.0" in west Southbury....still a few weenie flakes falling out there. Now keep the sun away today so we can keep some snow on the ground before tomorrow
  20. still bouncing back and forth which is fine at this time frame...assume a push to the south is coming in the next 24 hours
  21. Just came in, 1.1" on the board and 27.8°...hope to wake up to an additional inch or so...looks nice out, almost to the point of not seeing grass
  22. I am not one to call a bust early, but out here we should have picked up a good 2 inches in that initial burst, we did not....lots of ground to makeup here, hoping I am apologizing later for crying wolf...we shall see
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