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Spanks45

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  1. Spanks45
    Watching the clouds race northward from Long Island, transporting those 50 degree water temps north. Still 28/21, off a low of 19.6...Ground is plenty cold, so whatever falls frozen to start should accumulate, just a matter of how quickly it changes over to just pure rain.
  2. Spanks45
    Temp down to 19.9, coldest of the season so far....sadly most of what falls will be rain, good luck up north. Maybe next week will be kinder down here.
  3. Spanks45
    I think we are cooked down here....I'm worried we won't even get on the board here, especially at my lower elevation.
  4. Spanks45
    Been in this area for 10 winters now, odds are go low with this, especially this early in the season. Maybe 1-2 before changing over to heavy rain and 34 degrees. Your elevation may help a bit compared to me, but I suspect we all flip pretty quickly. So, me around an inch, you 2ish? Hope I'm wrong and the Euro is closer to correct on thermals and low placement/strength. Still plenty of model runs to go, so I suspsect some fluctuations, hopefully not towards the Nam solutions...
  5. Spanks45
    The past few years has been what ever model gives me the least amount of snow will somehow end up being right in the end...So the battle within is, different year, same result or does this year finally buck the trend? I mean, can the GFS really be that correct? Sure, but if recent memory is correct, then it will stick with an amped solution until 48-72 hrs and will suddenly bounce to the rest of guidance...
  6. Spanks45
    20.3⁰ for the low, coldest of the season. Everything is frozen, looks nice with the sun coming up. Clouds are beginning to roll in, going to make for quite the chilly day.
  7. Spanks45
    Very light, dime sized flakes falling at the moment. The ground is cold so most of them are laying...first official trace of the season. 30.7⁰ currently
  8. Spanks45
    A true trace, same here....the black pool cover looks like it has salt sprinkled on it. The younger kids were excited
  9. Spanks45
    Sleet/graupel/hail shower passing through atm, temp is currently 50⁰
  10. Spanks45
    Impressive, not as good as the major event a while back.....
  11. Spanks45
    Nice little rainstorm out there....
  12. Spanks45
    22.8⁰, coldest of the season here. Added some some wood to the stove before bed and the house is a comfy 70⁰ this morning.
  13. Spanks45
    12z GFS tried.....I feel like next week is good timing for the first 'flakes' of the season. No accumulations down here, but certainly some mangled flakes or even a few flurries with passing lake streamers. Even this morning had that vibe, couple dark clouds passing overhead, just a bit too warm, just a few sprinkles
  14. Spanks45
    Just came in from outside and it is quite cold, already down to 33.1
  15. Spanks45
    baseball tryouts for travel next year was today, despite the winds and off and on clouds, it definitely felt warmer than expected for November 1st. Even last night with trick or treat, the air just didn't have that 'bite' to it. I hope it isn't another one of those seasons that it never gets cold enough for it to snow and stay snow....55° currently
  16. Spanks45
    3.07" here, at least the ground water levels will be a bit happier going into winter....hopefully we can lay some snowfall down to help out in the Spring. Amazing how just getting an average year seems so out of reach
  17. Spanks45
    24.6 this morning, what maples haven't lost their leaves are dropping them steadily this morning.....
  18. Spanks45
    Woof, glad this isn't January...sitting here in WCT watching the band fizzle as it heads westward with only light rain/drizzle
  19. Spanks45
    Coldest point so far...26.8⁰ should pretty much take care of everything. Sadly the tomatoes were on a role, probably could have been picking through thanksgiving if the temps helped out.
  20. Spanks45
    Thankfully the Jughandle bridge is there, before hand that area would close with any coastal storm/on shore flow. Timing is close, but seems like, if something develops it would be more late Friday into the weekend....they have had so much erosion lately, it probably won't take much to close rt 12. I was down in Hatteras a few years ago during an early season coastal, rt 12 was closed for 3 days. Kinda scary with 4 kids, if something were to have happened and we needed to head north.
  21. Spanks45
    yikes....Northern or southern portion? The issues are Avon and south, Buxton/Rodanthe areas
  22. Spanks45
    If correct, the OBX is going to take another one to the chin after losing 9 homes in the coastal storm/Erin situation....Hopefully what ever forms throws a ton of moisture up this way, after the weekend of course.
  23. Spanks45
    same low temp here this morning as yesterday, 35.2....no frost though, we ended up with dense fog which seemed to have helped. The frost was enough to put an end to the massive amounts of pumpkins and gourds I have growing though, raspberries survived
  24. Spanks45
    yeah, unique little sandy valley....you could feel it as soon as the sun went down that it was going to radiate perfectly....clear and calm again tonight should yield another round of mid 30s by sunrise, that and no return flow starting until after daybreak
  25. Spanks45
    Frosty, 35.2⁰...kids are already asking when it is time to start the first fire...lol
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