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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. Spanks45
    Except for the one towards Valentine's Day, these aren't wrapped up blizzards needing some thread the needle capture. I feel like the odds of getting these storms are much greater than a pattern like that. It is just a matter of how much push from the north or the SE and where the heaviest precip ends up. So in other words this isn't some 1 in a million fantasy....written from a perspective I guess
  2. Spanks45
    sounds exotic, any analogs for this particular kind of pattern?
  3. Spanks45
    Temp up to 28⁰, light freezing rain now....looks like 1.2" of sleet/snow will do it
  4. Spanks45
    Oh, not saying it won't accumulate....but 29⁰ on February 16th will accumulate better at night than at 1pm, especially in sun exposed areas. Q
  5. Spanks45
    As we get further into February, it is the best way to maximize accumulation.
  6. Spanks45
    Good....would love to clear things up Sunday, too many basketball games to reschedule if we have to cancel on Sunday. Another overnight event, besides today, most have come at night this year.
  7. Spanks45
    Yeah, told the kids 4-6 last night....go from. 1-2 today, 4-6 Saturday night, and dare I say 6-10 for the one after?
  8. Spanks45
    Yeah it has been off and on light snow here....despite the early changeover, it went back to snow despite the lighter returns. I would typically expect freezing drizzle by now. Temp is holding at 25.3⁰
  9. Spanks45
    The 6z Nam 10:1 looked almost spot on....Euro, Rap, and others were way too snowy to our south
  10. Spanks45
    Some very fine snow falling, sleet seemed to have disappeared for now..odd, 25.2⁰
  11. Spanks45
    1.1" before the changeover...temp has begun it's upward crawl....50/50 mix atm, 22.3⁰
  12. Spanks45
    All snow and heavy now....time to stack the best we can, the temp has been pretty stable, so there is at least that
  13. Spanks45
    A little bit of resistance, but that changeover line is coming for sure.....couple tenths down here, 21.7° currently with borderline heavy snow
  14. Spanks45
    I should say the layers warmed with very little "thump" here in CT
  15. Spanks45
    Well the nam just jumped many miles north.....less than a half inch even here, wouldn't that be fun. Most of CT is less than an inch.
  16. Spanks45
    Where do I sign up for the whining crew that only gets 30"....
  17. Spanks45
    Euro looks south to me...with some drizzle tomorrow afternoon
  18. Spanks45
    Next week too, those are some serious high pressures sitting up near the Hudson Bay....Just need a good storm to run into it
  19. Spanks45
    Good point, I have no problem being greedy and getting all 3 to work out in our favor...
  20. Spanks45
    CMC has the high in a similar position...Not saying the GFS and CMC are right, but at least some consistency
  21. Spanks45
    The wintry vibe is key....February has that feel to it still so nickel and dime away. March on the other hand, unless it is a big storm, I would rather just rain at that point...
  22. Spanks45
    Seems like the further south the GFS is with this one, the further south next week is.....maybe we want Sunday further north?
  23. Spanks45
    Come on Luke, such a debbie...lol....But in reality, lets see how things work out tomorrow first. Sunday is a busy kids sports day in this house, so I fully expect the worst weather conditions then.
  24. Spanks45
    That high once again pops up in a good spot, I think I said that yesterday at this time....hopefully it can keep that low well to our south and keep this mostly snow...Just need to get the Euro to agree.
  25. Spanks45
    It screams faster than modeled change over regardless of surface temps....I always hate those systems, expect an inch or 2 before change over, but precip starts as a snow/sleet mix and goes to sleet shortly after...
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