With all the weather models available that come out 2-4x daily plus the Euro going out to 360 hrs, I think days become a blur waiting for the next models. By the time the last one finished up with the ensembles, the next is ready to go....time definitely flies by to me. Need boring weather I guess to slow down time, ha!
I think we busted positively in last year's storm too...take what we can and enjoy it, maybe we squeak something out this weekend too, before a couple cold days. Then warm it up over the holidays. I have plenty of work to do outside anyway, lol.
Only 32.5⁰ here, currently 18.7⁰...got a quick game of 21 with the kids, hands were frozen pretty quickly though, was surprised just how cold it was today, despite the forecast. For some things, it is nice not to have ice and snow everywhere...
Yup....hope we didn't have our winter like week last week with absolutely nothing until spring. That would definitely suck. But these 1-2 week winters are getting old now, this is what I had come to know living in Delaware, not SNE...Warm/wet, cold/dry continues for the foreseable future it seems
It has even 'tucked' a bit down here....my high for the day was around midnight at 40, only 39 currently. If we had any of the cold from last week, it would have been at least interesting to start tonight and tomorrow
Overnight ensembles did not look good at all going into the week of Christmas. Definitely some can kicking at best, hopefully they are wrong. Will be nice to put a dent in the drought though. Hopefully we can time something nicely, because the moisture seems to be back. However for now it looks like the dreaded warm/wet, coldish/dry pattern setting up.
It was snowing earlier and quite heavy in fact....but under the lighter echos our temp bumps up and switches to rain. Life in the valley, expected though with the strong S to SE winds
And just like that the SE wind kicked in and the temp has risen to 36.9/24 in just the past 20 minutes. Definitely a few flakes falling now though...white rain for a while most likely
So, models are at least interesting for the area tomorrow night...what are we thinking? Cold rain with some mangled flakes or something to get us on the board? I told my wife a week ago, if we don't get any snow out of this cold pattern that we are moving to Ireland...I'm hoping tomorrow night doesn't ruin the threat, Lol
so what you are saying is, there is a sub tropical "warm front" that keeps pushing northward (CC induced). Only, it is hitting the polar jets further north than it typically would have pre-CC era. However, recently over the past 10-20 years, it has made it so far north during the winter season that a stronger battle has developed ie...stronger geostrophic winds? Just trying to see if I am on the right path of understanding what you have posted...
Is there a HRRR/GFS rule? Just kinding, but they are pretty similar in trying to flip Fairfield County over to heavy snow. Another case where the hill behind me might pick up a couple inches and I have white rain....should be fun to watch it develop, if it does
Lol, GFS clown with 12+ over Fairfield county.....I guess where that low comes in and deepens determine who sees some flakes, Ridgefield hills will probably see a couple slushy inches in that scenario