Spanks45

watching this storm for Saturday trend north and east each model cycle, makes me wonder if this storm does the same thing? QPF jacks out here may end up swapped with mins before this thing starts.

Southbury southern jack there, probably could toss the GFS run, not happening....The GFS has been quite stingy on the qpf on the western side (besides 30ish miles from the center) for quite a few runs. Either it is onto something or it doesn't have a clue yet

We are wounded from years of being in SWCT. If I wake up with 8 inches tomorrow instead of the slushy 3 that I am expecting, then the rug pull on Tuesday won't be soo bad.

Yup, we need a perfect track here...what is great for those in the east will suck here. I don't think this can be a region wide snowstorm.

Looks good! Sneaky cold this morning, got down to 19.8 here. Clouds are already rolling in too, hopefully keeps the temps on the lower end of the forecast today. Every degree helps in mid March. Biggest storm of the season here is 5.0", can we beat it?

This season! Pretty big red flag this morning, the temps. We need those rates overnight or it might be 35⁰ and slush that never adds up to much more than 2 inches. We shall see though, hoping to grab 3-5, should make for some pretty pictures in the morning with everything caked in snow

Yeah, not getting my hopes up. I'd prefer that big one to come in early February anyways. Will be a fun storm to track though, lots of heart breaks coming it seems.

We are close out here...let's just keep it there for a couple more days. See where our luck is Saturday morning. Maybe this is our storm? GFS with very little precip on the western side out here....

If we are going to "pile" it up, we needed nighttime...at least we have that.

No worries here, I went into this storm hoping for a ton, but expecting a slushy inch. I said yesterday that I was expecting more snow Saturday morning than early next week and will stick to that forecast....Lets see what the Euro shows in an hour.

Let's just ride the UKIE for today.....it has nothing tomorrow night and a ton early next week. Can it be that bad? Lol..... Maybe this is the one, two punch we have been waiting for around here? I do worry the GFS has the right idea, progressive and further NE. But who knows at this point, still trying to figure out tomorrow night.

Reminds me of the days when models would lose a storm in the mid range, only to bring them back a day or 2 later....seems like that doesn't really happen very often anymore. Anecdotally speaking, the GFS has done fairly well in that long/mid range recently. So who knows....

I haven't shoveled anything from this storm yet, but it sure does look like something the GFS was showing days ago. Maybe it had the right idea before?

I will enjoy my slushy inch while Luke shovels his 4-6......

clear some trees for your solar.....That run looks like a few of those tasty ensembles from this morning. Starts precipitating in WSNE Monday morning, finally stops in ESNE Wednesday evening....Sheesh

well it is all downhill from this point out here, lol...that is a power problem for us here in SWCT, 33 with heavy snow like that. Would be fun at least

1035 high coming down into the plains, icing on the literal cake of our winter season....would be nice to banana that over top

12z Euro pushed a bit further NE this run....solid 2"-4"in SW CT, let's tick it NE each run until go time.

Might be a case where you and I see more snow Saturday than we do early next week.....this one does have the feeling of up and in right now.

Sure has....Hopefully we are hitting softballs in May. CMC looks great, lets just roll with that

I will just come out and say what most are thinking right now....Somehow this solution by the GFS will be correct. Many will assume the Euro will be right this time due to its "handling" Saturday so well. Then just like a toddler, when you think you have them potty trained, they have a huge blowout in the middle of the grocery store, on a Saturday afternoon(ok, maybe a bit of an exaggeration). I guess, in reality, follow the ensembles for now, at least until the Saturday storm is finished. GFS looks like it is trying, but is highly confused on the handling and what looks to be following the convection off shore....

You will probably pull off more than I do in this one....Good Luck!

Soon we will be rooting on the second one to amp up and pull down the cold air so it can lock it in for the third one coming....

barely below freezing near the Canadian border @ 0z Tuesday during the height of it down here....

oof, track looks ok, but where is the cold air? Looks warm outside of the higher terrain. The ensembles were hinting at this too...only this season?