Just going to post this....going back the last 4 runs, a noticeable push from the building confluence. Long range meso models unable to recognize this feature well?
Lol, look at that Fairfield county cutoff here in CT. Otherwise that is double digits for most of the state. Impressive if the GFS actually has a clue...
So is it that deep trough coming into California at the same time causing this to run so far west? The block up in Greenland is quite impressive with a pinwheeling 50/50. One would think this wouldn't be able to gain so much latitude, so early on. Or is the block just too early to have any effect on this particular system?
984 mb low into SW Michigan is not going to bode well for most of SNE besides some frozen early on....who knows, maybe it doesn't have a clue at this point
CMC has a warm layer around 800 mb, around 12z Saturday.. .otherwise the column is pretty chilly even down here. Hopefully it is right, it bodes well for those to our north.
Ha, yes they are...there is a warm layer around 800, sleet at the height...mostly snow for northern CT here it is like a few inches, sleet, then ends as some snow
Ha, fair enough...I also agree, but the blues aren't as exciting as purples and pinks...Lol
Snow has actually started flying here, quite windy too, wasn't expecting that.
34/23 atm
Still drove a secondary under us in the end....it was close and wouldn't take much to keep us all frozen down here. Assuming the Euro has close to the right idea.
Still waiting for one of those monster storms that track over eastern sections, leaving us under heavy wet snow, not sure I have experienced one of those yet since I moved here in late 2014
I know, it's just become instinctive to expect lower than forecasted numbers since we have almost always underperformed in recent years. Hopefully that streak starts now and heads into next winter.
The SWCT minimum starting to show up as we get closer to gametime, not saying it is correct, as the 6z Euro looked great around here. But this season's way of finding ways to produce little to no snow around here is quite impressive.