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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. Spanks45
    -6.2⁰, coldest in has been at my location in 5 years.....
  2. Spanks45
    Not surprised, clear/calm/fresh snow pack...but already down to 0.7⁰ here at home Bring it home Euro, at least at 0z, plenty of time to go
  3. Spanks45
    Primary up to Ohio....glad its cold prior, sheesh
  4. Spanks45
    The CMC is where NYC starts sniffing the sleet line....when will it stop?
  5. Spanks45
    So minus a tick flatter/more squashed AI Euro, the GFS is sitting on an island at the moment? Just where you want things at day 5....any word on the CMC para? If anything just to track it and see how it does...
  6. Spanks45
    As long as I can measure before compaction starts...
  7. Spanks45
    hopefully not congrats Powderfreak....I definitely do not want sleet @ 12 degrees
  8. Spanks45
    If we go back, even 2 years ago before the AI models started....We would be quite happy with today's results so far, assuming the EPS continues to improve. Impressive, Icon/CMC/UK/Euro all have heavy, accumulating snow with temperatures in the single digits, definitely has the PDII vibes
  9. Spanks45
    We are at the point in most winter system potentials where certain posters/meteorologists have already decided what will happen. So, for example....if they have decided this is not a SNE system, they will cherry pick the model that backs their forecast regardless of what consensus is. It is hard to distinguish it from true forecasting or just straight trolling. It goes both ways too....always adds some flavor or angst to the discussion.
  10. Spanks45
    sending all the good vibes up there to you....If you are shoveling feet of snow, that probably means I am too Icon and now the CMC ( I know.....), both storms have most under heavy snow and single digits, would be wild.
  11. Spanks45
    There is the DC to Boston snowstorm we have been missing for what seems decades now....
  12. Spanks45
    CMC is kind of like PD 2003 storm, just lighter and a bit south.....a stronger southern system pushing a bit north would help a ton. Watching the radar loop from 2003, you can almost imagine that is what it would look like if the CMC run were to play out as is today at 12z
  13. Spanks45
    When l lived in the Mid Atlantic, I would always get excited watching the CAD signature develop down the eastern side of the Apps into NC....Always knew fun times were ahead. Hopefully we can enjoy it up here as well
  14. Spanks45
    looks pretty zonked afterwards, nothing like the GFS
  15. Spanks45
    GFS almost cancels the winter storm for even Virginia.....Last storm we had the AI GFS/AI Euro/CMC versus the world, now it looks the it might be the AI GFS vs AI Euro....maybe the AI Euro becomes the new king when the dust settles.
  16. Spanks45
    heavy snow here and 7 degrees, hopefully not arctic sand.....Kuchera gone wild I am sure.....
  17. Spanks45
    24.0" for the season......Worked so hard to get there, hopefully we don't get shutout up here over the next week while someone down south surpasses my season total with one storm, lol
  18. Spanks45
    It looked as though it wanted to phase with the energy over the great lakes
  19. Spanks45
    Its over....just kidding GFS looks better though
  20. Spanks45
    I hope in a few days, we are worrying about how far north sleet line can get....
  21. Spanks45
    AI GFS bumped south at 12z...still brings precip north, but no where near as much as before. Confluence way stronger than 6z
  22. Spanks45
    3.4" from yesterday, 2 day total was 7.8"
  23. Spanks45
    I mean, looking at the 6z Euro, 6 days out sure looks ok to me...living in the Mid Atlantic for most of my life, I recall quite a few of these systems and their abilities to end up further north than forecasted 5 days out. Always seemed like the sleet line would make its way further north than foecasted, even within 24 hrs. The fact that the OPs are starting to bounce around, the closer we get definitely shows there is some wiggle room. Lets get some ridging in the SE....
  24. Spanks45
    Off to bed, last part of the weekend ended up underperforming out here....unless some magical backbuilding occurs later, we will finish with another 1.6"...weekend total 7.7"
  25. Spanks45
    Evening snow stroll...1" of new snow, still crappy growth, we had way better rates this morning. Snow is still pasty, trees are sagging a ton, 31.6⁰
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