Spanks45

I miss the old days of little access to models, things were more of a surprise when they happened and less of a disappointment when they didn't. I mean, I know I am the same way, I might get 12 inches of snow, but feel empty because the models were showing 18....before I feel like I can't enjoy the fact that it is snowing most of the time because expectations take over. Sure I could just leave the board and stay away from the models 4 times per day, but it is an addiction with no help, lol

It doesn't help that the past 4 years have been below to insanely below average, getting porked in every possible way. And here we are again finding new ways to miss snow, so definitely a lot of angst in SNE for sure. I understand why meteorologically we are missing out, but never realized that for an area that averages 45-50 inches per year that we have to get lucky, just to hit average. I always assumed that it was the other way around, 2014/15 was luck....hopefully we snap out of it soon and we end up running the table the rest of the year, but the hangover from the past 4 years is hanging on and will be tough to snap out of

Honestly, I don't like how cold it has been the past month and a half....At some point, the switch is going to flip and my worry is it will be sometime mid to late January through February during our climo snowfall periods. I would almost rather have this time period be close to average heading into the holidays. Despite what averages show, my firewood burn rate has been at an all time high here, lol...Here is to me being wrong, I am quite ok with that and will be first to call myself out

outside of a rogue blizzard, looks like we are well on our way to another below to well below average winter with regards to snowfall....cool stuff

3.9⁰, might trickle down a bit more before the sun comes over the hill. Love it when the moles hills are frozen solid causing you to stub your toe and trip randomly in the yard....

It was steady for a while down here, hanging around 19⁰, skies cleared, now its off to the races... 13.3⁰ currently

It just looks so simple, right? Not waiting for phasing, this and that needs to go right before snow starts falling type deal....just some energy passing to our south and cold air in place.

and what is interesting about that, is why? Why so triggered about someone like her?

It seems like for the past 4 years this has been the theme...at what point is it bad luck vs the new norm?

Seeing how the snows are beginning to show up in VA and NC, it won't be long until the gulf coast gets their storm again....Same pattern, just a different year. We sure can't seem to do marginal anymore and now the somewhat newly added, too cold to snow around here. Clearly something is going on....Other snowless periods were just too dry, now we deal with warm/wet, cold/dry pattern

Colder version of what we just had a few days ago....most would take that look at this point, we all want the biggie, but at this point give me 3-6, with some cold to follow. Reminds me a bit of the systems from the early 2000s, just weaker.

Oh I know, just some jest on this morning as I frolick in my 0.4" of fresh snow before it disappears within the hour. Those plot look great, but seem to never pan out over the past few years. Definitely raise more questions than answers it seems...

The voodoo of MJO plots can be lumped into the likes of tarriffs and corporate tax breaks....

You can feel the angst growing after each set of model runs....hard to deny the stretch of years filled with warmish/wet to cold/dry. You would have to think one of these cold patterns would yield some luck. Nice 15 minute burst of snow this morning though....

Had a nice burst of snow about a half hour ago, maybe close to a quarter inch. Still some light snow falling, not showing on radar. 27.7⁰ atm

A few stray flurries here at the moment...just wants to snow I guess

Just out hanging some Christmas lights and there a few flurries falling from the sky. Desperate times for sure when un forecasted flurry activity is something to post about...a chilly 27.1⁰ off a high of 28.8⁰

I have average just under 24" the past 4 years here, pretty sure I average 45-50...So yeah anything near that would feel like a record season

Can't wait to see the update with snow into the Delmarva region....fun times

Looks good, ended up with a half inch of snow and sleet here in Southbury.

0.4" of a sleet/snow mix. Came down nicely for close to a half hour. Now just a sleet/frz rain mix. Temp starting to creep up now, 30.9⁰ I think the extra cooling last night, definitely helped out here in the marginal area

Back to a 50/50 sleet and snow mix...temp still holding at 30.7⁰

Pinging pretty good right now, a little bit more and we can officially record 0.1"...lol Temp holding steady at 30.7⁰

A continuation of the past few years.....It is going to snow, it always does, hopefully we can at least get somewhere near average.

Watching the clouds race northward from Long Island, transporting those 50 degree water temps north. Still 28/21, off a low of 19.6...Ground is plenty cold, so whatever falls frozen to start should accumulate, just a matter of how quickly it changes over to just pure rain.