Spanks45
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Everything posted by Spanks45
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Gfs under 100 hrs now with a swath of 4-8 snowfall for SNE. Can it be right?
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Toast....we wait until late week/next weekend. Despite the ups and downs, the gut knows how this ends up down here. -
And just like that 5 inches of snow has been reduced to leftover piles. Currently sunny and 50⁰
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ha, they can be wise, especially staring down the face of a storm.....
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18z HRRR still drunk down here......Definitely a cold bias after 18 hours it seems, low placement looks similar to most, besides the NAM of course
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There is definitely cold air left over, what seems to be over most of North America, but not bitterly cold either. There doesn't really seem to be a reload mechanism either, especially after the equinox. So fingers crossed we roll right into Spring by the end of the month
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can we just go out with a bang and bring on spring? Seems like the NAO goes poof afterwards...
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Down here in Monroe CT....looks like grauple the size of peas falling from the sky..impressive
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So are we going to get 3 inches of sleet? Of course if the Euro is right. It won't much matter, but the sleet single is pretty strong around here at the moment.
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Euro is not what it used to be, so at this point it is a wait and see how things shake out over the next 24 hrs....If all models look like the Euro at some point and hold the look, then maybe it is correct. But I have seen the Euro be wrong and sometimes way wrong more often recently. So I will take the GFS ensembles at this point and just hope they are right....Lol
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This is where it will make a move that will leave us scratching our heads as to why it becomes the coldest/snowiest model....
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Just going to post this....going back the last 4 runs, a noticeable push from the building confluence. Long range meso models unable to recognize this feature well?
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It seems the system Thursday has been ticking south each run too. I would assume that plays a role for the next system....
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Lol, look at that Fairfield county cutoff here in CT. Otherwise that is double digits for most of the state. Impressive if the GFS actually has a clue...
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5" on 0.53"....I was hoping the Euro was close to its 0.85" run @18z last night...oh well Still a fun storm, beat the December storm of 2.7" here
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So is it that deep trough coming into California at the same time causing this to run so far west? The block up in Greenland is quite impressive with a pinwheeling 50/50. One would think this wouldn't be able to gain so much latitude, so early on. Or is the block just too early to have any effect on this particular system?
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984 mb low into SW Michigan is not going to bode well for most of SNE besides some frozen early on....who knows, maybe it doesn't have a clue at this point
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CMC has a warm layer around 800 mb, around 12z Saturday.. .otherwise the column is pretty chilly even down here. Hopefully it is right, it bodes well for those to our north.
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5.0" here in the NW portion of Southbury, CT @The 4 Seasons Temp above freezing now, so not expecting much more
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Ha, yes they are...there is a warm layer around 800, sleet at the height...mostly snow for northern CT here it is like a few inches, sleet, then ends as some snow
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Couple inches of snow, followed by a ton of sleet....main low makes it to Ohio, second develops south of long island....
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The CMC seems to be pretty stable over the past couple of days, maybe it has the right idea. GFS is pretty similar...
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Back edge from round 1 racing in here, spotty looking until the stuff from PA pushes in.
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Legit heavy snow now, probably the first of the season...temp down to 31.5⁰ Probably pushing a half inch already
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Flakes flying, already coating some surfaces...quite windy as well, 34.0⁰/23⁰
