vortex95

Thanks Captain Obvious!

Question...I used the PSU reanalyses maps a lot going back, but a few years ago, the link I had did not work anymore. What is the link now?

Frost and then perhaps a "Scott Spinner" this aftn-eve!

HRRR shows "PT time." Over 40" in the mtns. Thought it seemed high but GFS/ECMWF/UKMET all show 30"+ same area. Why not? Upslope flow this time of year w/ a lot more moisture available than even March (DEN snowiest month). Scott probably still "MEH!"

Yes, note the large 546 thk pool over much of the NE. Tons of SHRA/TSRA w/ hail to marginal svr levels across the region 6/30 and 7/1.

40" in the mountains. ACATT: WHY CAN'T....

7/1/1988 34 for a low Barre Falls MA. Frost in SNE in July? MWN 4" snow 6/30-7/1/1988, its most snow in the summer. Go figure, this was sandwiched in-between big heat in mid-June and after 7/4. One of the hottest summers on record for the area and the U.S. And the drought? $60B in damages, by far the costliest natural disaster for the country up to this time. Yellowstone burned continuously from June to November. July 1988 here was one of most active tstm months on record for SNE. MQE had 15 days w/ thunder for its all-time record. ASH also had 15 tstm days (43 total for the year). Derecho ALB to BOS on 6/22.

Meanwhile in DEN coming up. Scott again: " Why can't we get that here? -- I WANT A MAY 9-10, 1977 EVERY YEAR!" Interesting for DEN this snow season. They currently have more snow March-April (13.9") than meteorological winter (13.2") and more on the way. I bring this up b/c the clueless media could not stop talking about how there was a lack of snow this winter in the Rockies in Feb. However, the window for snow goes well beyond meteorological winter here, but of course the media doesn't realize this, or conveniently ignores to push hype/a narrative (no more snow). It's also the East Coast bias, as if the climate is the same everywhere and the East Coast (esp. NYC) is the standard! So even though meteorological winter was lacking for snow in the Rockies, they have made up some ground March-April, and will continue to do so short-term. The point is it no longer the record lowest for snow. Yes, still below avg, but that not the same as all-time records. These days any deviation from normal or anomaly is treated as unusual or extreme. What planet are they living on? And what do you think the headlines will be coming up in the next week? Not the unusually persistent cool wx in the East, but the "heat dome" in the West, despite the CO snowstorm.

Yesterday Port Comfort TX. Measured G103KT. CoastalWx -- WHY CAN'T WE GET THAT HERE? https://x.com/CPalermo_Storms/status/2050301507174539390 Actually, CoastalWx did have it "here." May 22, 1996 Brockton macroburst G90KT! However, despite him outside at track at his high school, he missed it! He only had a faint idea something was going on close by. He wasn't too good yet at "the sky is talking!"

4.5" max in Johnson Co. TX ydy. Enjoy it b/c that will be the last of sig svr in the "Alley" for the next week! This pattern out there is the equivalent of CoastalWx "THIS BLOWS" for the Northeast, but at least we may get some half-decent tstm activity here w/ so many FROPAs and the mean trough position stuck in the E UFN.

In the spirit of ACATT, some infographic "PT" material for his edification! LOL. https://x.com/sambrandt99/status/2026382119207923774 "There was much discussion about subsidence zones on the colder (WNW) side of snowbands during the recent [Feb] blizzard. But you may still be wondering "why does it occur on that side of the band specifically?" Well, the answer has to do with the dynamics of frontogenesis"

Scott would rather have this! As in bring out the BIG GUNS!

Too much AM convection likely the culprit. That can be overcome though it conditions are ideal, like April 27, 2011, but so often it mucks up the low-levels,

Stop complaining. We do need the rain!

Big bust for tors. PDS tor watch and MEH. When the PDS watch was issued, it took several hours even to have a single tstm in it!

Vortex PT in RI today? https://www.facebook.com/reel/1413402380828852

CoastalWx longing for this again? He knows what this is like when he lived in Dorchester! After he had calmed down, he got mad b/c they couldn't fix the messed up transformer arcing outside! https://x.com/AdamLucioWX/status/2048255300302438510

And a shovel if Scott gets his way!

GFS and ECMWF show the "wheel of misfortune" in the cards. Well, we do need the rain. Maybe some big snows NNE?

On 6/26, MSC will begin storm-specific SVR and TOR warnings. See here: https://dd.meteo.gc.ca/doc/genots/2026/04/21/NOCN04_CWAO_211100___07621 This is good b/c before you'd see huge area outlined in warnings on apps like RadarScope. Now they will be smaller and more focused.

I'll post this on the general forum, but since this is relevant for NNE, I'll post it here. On 6/26, MSC will begin storm-specific SVR and TOR warnings. See here: https://dd.meteo.gc.ca/doc/genots/2026/04/21/NOCN04_CWAO_211100___07621 This is good b/c before you'd see huge area outlined in warnings on apps like RadarScope. Now they will be smaller and more focused.

Scott this evening..."WHY CAN'T WE GET THAT HERE??!!"