vortex95

Yes, I know, but enough ppl has access or were looking at AFDs outside mainstream media to run w/ that and hype. Yes, this was long before FB, Twitter, and tidbit quotes going viral instantly, esp. to the general public. But within wx circles, chat forums, and list-servs, this was a hot topic. I recall it well! IIRC, that March 2001 event was I think the first time the MSM went nuts 5+ days out for the "storm to end all storms" PHL-BOS. A watershed event for pre-storm hype! The big cities largely missed out, even BOS, but just 10 mi NW in Woburn, I had 23" of snow, and it was super wet that entire 23"! Never had I seen so high vertical snow "walls" on power lines (wind was next to nothing), and never has so much snow in a single storm that was 100% wet. You'd dig into the snow pack, and you'd see a blue tinge, esp. noticeable while it was still cloudy That's when I learned that high-moisture content snow result in this. So "KEWL!"

So 11" in an hr from combined upslope and convective TSW++? Probably giant dendrites! Good info. Knowing the limits of any wx event, type, or specific phenomena is paramount for historical discussion and getting people excited!

"Will exceed?" That is unwise to forecast an all-time record storm w/ absolute wording. It is so hard to say "may approach?" That is the more reasonable thing to do, rather than go all out. This sets one up for big failure in the eyes of the public if it does not happen esp, when comparing it to a benchmark storm for a region. The psychological impact here is huge. Was 40-50" explicitly forecast by any model for parts of SNE? Were storm tides forecast to match or exceed the Bliz of 78? Was there a 1055 mb high in place NW of New England w/ a 70 mb plus high/low difference? Was the synoptic pattern over NAMR similar to the Biz of 78, b/c that 500 ridge/trough evolution was exceptional, unlike anything in the KU cases. You not only had a massive cut-off low form just S of New England, but a massive cut off high form at the same time over western Canada. The worst case scenario is the least likely to happen in any given storm situation, so you better have a darn good reason to go for it. The notion "better safe than sorry" is a tired and invalid excuse. Going for worse all the time has real world consequences and impacts, and you will be wrong more often than not. Extraordinary events require extraordinary circumstances.

Wow, never heard of that outside of LES or Rockies/Sierra-Nevada upslope. Ayer MA has 8"/hr on 12/23/97 and the 12/9/05 was up to 9"/hr near Andover MA. So was it on the mountain at Sunday River at 3000 ft?

Supposed to?? According to who or what? Did all models show 24-30" for NZW or did you just pick the one that showed the most? Scott gets over a foot and still complaining? So when Hamden got 40" in the Bliz of '13 and you only got what, 26"? You were mad then as well? Talk about spoiled. I WANT THE MOST ALL THE TIME!!!" Recently get buried all-time in Jan-Fen 2015 and 2 years later still complaining. Coming soon, "the ratios were 'supposed to' be 20:1 and were only 12:1! So I "lost" and for `12" instead of 20"!

Great snowfall maps!!!

Saw 5.5" in Weymouth as of 5pm for the max in Norfolk Co. WUZ that U?

For Weymouth/CoastalWx, "WE HOLE!"

We BIG snow! Probably the most 40"+ reports in a NEUS storm other than March 1888 and Feb 1969.

"I WANT MORE!!!!" LOL.

I know what CoastalWx is thinking now w/ the 00z HRRR -- March 8-9, 2013! Not quite the 600 mi SE of ACK the sfc low was then, but it still 300 mi! 30" at MQE in the 2013 event. One of biggest modern day fcst busts here for snow! The 500 low elongation axis is now just W of the region, and the low cuts off a decent distance S of LI on some models. So a weenie pseudo "backlash" OES combo appears likely.

Given how crappy the previous 4 winters have been, this winter has been outstanding. We can't always have a 1992-93, 1995-96, 2004-05, or 2014-15 every time for a "good" winter. CoastalWx mindset: "If it is not a Bliz of '13 RIPPER w/ everything but the kitchen sink falling out of the sky, I'm dissatisfied!"

It's PT time for CoastalWx! RRFS FTW! Such a slow evolution of the 500 trough over New England Sat-Sun. It just doesn't sweep though, it elongates and cuts off for some really good OES weenie bands IMHO. 500 temps drops as low as -38 C, which is about as cold as you will see them in the NEUS. -40 C at 500 in the CONUS does not happen too often, and I think the limit at 500 for temps is around -50 C (coldest I have seen in NAMR is -51 C). There is some physical atmospheric reason why it can't get colder than this I recall, but I forget the reason why.

I was torn between this song and "Working On It" by Chris Rea!

Yes, talk to him in the third person! CoastalWx gets what CoastalWx likes, ALL HAIL WINTER!!!!

Hold!!!!

"We can do this?" 11 days and he is hopeful? LOL

Quite an impressive stretch you have to admit since Jan 27 w/ widespread lows in the single numbers in New England w/ many cold spots below zero. ORE has been as low as -18 F and OWD -16 F. And this going to continue right trough Fri, a break Sat, then Sun-Tue again. CoastalWx *should* like this cold b/c it preserves his "white gold." LOL.

I can hear CoastalWx from here, "why can't the mean trough position be just 150 mi to the W!!!" But maybe PT action from the NORLUN the 00z ECMWF is explicitly showing, which is pretty amazing it is showing it so far out. Given the 500 low lagging the sfc low so much, this scenario is not unreasonable. And we may have a great line of TSW+ when the strong cold front moves through initially.