vortex95

The best was 2011-12. Get the big snowstorm end of Oct, and then next to nothing and a torch for the winter! Scott was beside himself! 1979-80 was like this as well.

You do realize that since April 30, New England has had measurable pcpn every day. Not a lot, but it's not bone dry. More stuff today. Perhaps a NZW TRW?

CoastalWx is the absolute king of post #'s on this group, and he is among the most vocal causal complainers, never mind one-liners when he is weenie'ing out (e.g. WE SNOW), and we have coined "ACATT," so why not? Point reference where all other weenies are rated! After working w/ him for more than 10 years and seeing him in action as a weenie, he lives for jabs and debate! My favorite line from him was pointing out caveats to an upcoming snowstorm, and he would always go, "We'll see!" Reassuring confirmation bias to make himself feel better and hoping the snow would turn as out as he wanted (wished) it!

Taking lessons from CoastalWx? We do need the rain!

"It stinks and it sucks!" or "when you stink, you stink!" -- BOS sports quote from the late 80s!

In other news, Scott sees this, and First I have heard of this (new Kocin snowstorm book). Can anyone confirm?

26 BML.

Even though the overall large-scale pattern is not favorable for significant severe weather currently, that does not mean locally, there can't be nasty events, likeSW MS yesterday. A single supercell produced multiple or one long-tracked intense tornado. Damage surveys are ongoing, but it appears EF3 damage at least. | Radar loop here: https://x.com/wxkobold/status/2052440176245289471 Look at the SPC storm reports for 5/6. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/260506_rpts.html Very limited in coverage overall, which makes sense given the larger-scale conditions not good. The supercell latched onto and rode W-E along a low-level boundary, which is *everything* for "Scott spinners!" A few days ago, this occurred in FL. You don't even need to look at the velocity loop on the right, the base reflectively loop on the left clearly shows little "eddies" along the boundary! https://x.com/wxkobold/status/2051799555427955015

So for the DEN snowstorm... Max measured amount I could find was 33.9" 1.8 S Estes Park (about 8000 ft). Max estimated from SNOTEL was 33.8" 4 NNW Long Peak (about 9100 ft). HRRR fcst snow totals were over 40" and odds are that did indeed occur above 10,000 (hard to verify tho since no in situ obs). Global models fcst max amounts just over 30" in the highest elevations w/ their lower resolution for terrain, so a great fcst overall for the absolute highest amounts. Yes, not a drought buster, but quite significant snowfall event w/ high LEQs, so this can only help. You can choose to look at things glass half empty or full. Emphasize the negative or positive. Just the MSM tends to focus on the negative, which is nothing new really, but social media and overall divide these days often amplifies it to the extreme w/ context and perspective lacking. Denver officially had 5.8" but the climate location is 16 mi ENE of the downtown. SW suburbs had up to 9.5". Also, it seems that May snowstorms ranking for Denver is all over the place on social media. https://kdvr.com/weather/wx-news/this-may-snowstorm-is-one-of-the-largest-in-denver-history/ The above link lists the biggest snowfalls for the city and it is inclusive for the 3 different locations where snow has been measured (earliest event listed is 1931). It states this most recent snowstorm was the 5th biggest in the city's history, but that is incorrect. It leaves out 12.4" on May 5-6, 1978 and May 13-14, 1912 and 15.5" May 1-5, 1898. And when I have mentioned this on social media posts, ppl have said, "that's what the NWS provided to me." Yet you go on the NWS BOU site, and the 3 May snowstorms I just mentioned are listed. NWS Boulder Denver Top 20 Records - May It just goes to show how easily bad or incorrect information can spread. Too many media outlets and individuals just parrot what others say and do no fact-checking themselves! This is important in the large pix when talking about wx and climate b/c the details count and can make a big difference in stories/statements.

The long range theme is WET, WET, WET, or using ACATT translation - BLOWS, BLOWS, BLOWS! LOL.

Scott all excited about the 00z ECMWF coastal on Monday?!

Passed right over K40B. Temp dropped from 70 to 55 F.

Scott would settle for this (video I took). Best "scudnado" I have ever seen, including the 20+ times I have storm chased in the Plains!

What about Weeping Willows? Those things lose it w/ a gnat fart! No roots either.

This persistent trough pattern may lead to a solid nor'easter eventually. See that storm from May 3-4 that bombed S of Nova Scotia? 981 to 968 mb in just 3 hr! Scott impressed? https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1SBWGokHDi/

Thanks Captain Obvious!

Question...I used the PSU reanalyses maps a lot going back, but a few years ago, the link I had did not work anymore. What is the link now?

Frost and then perhaps a "Scott Spinner" this aftn-eve!

HRRR shows "PT time." Over 40" in the mtns. Thought it seemed high but GFS/ECMWF/UKMET all show 30"+ same area. Why not? Upslope flow this time of year w/ a lot more moisture available than even March (DEN snowiest month). Scott probably still "MEH!"

Yes, note the large 546 thk pool over much of the NE. Tons of SHRA/TSRA w/ hail to marginal svr levels across the region 6/30 and 7/1.