IronTy

39F here in Calvert which ironically was the same temp as the cabin this morning according to my game cam.

Sun just busted out here in Bloomingdale.

According to the drought monitor, most of the area is out of the official drought. It's abnormally dry still but not significant across the region. As @CAPE sort of implied, this time of year (and basically til April), soil moisture doesn't really have much of an impact on the flora of the area since it is dormant anyhow. And the low sun angle and cool temps means any soil moisture sort of just sits there until spring. The mistake you're making is assigning the "low reservoir" level to some sort of natural phenomenon. The only reason there are low reservoirs is that humans created them in the first place and sucked down too much water. We basically created our own problem. The trees in my yard don't give two shits about whether some DC reservoir is "lower than normal" (normal in this case isn't an actual thing since it isn't a natural process). The problem isn't too little rain, it's too much demand. Random anecdote. I am on well water at my primary residence in Calvert county. For the past 20yrs I've had a hardness of about 17gpg. This year all of a sudden my hardness has increased to 30gpg. I've had to buy a new softener with a higher capacity to deal with it. Maybe it's due to the drought, I have no idea. But if it is, it's not nature's fault, it's a side effect of humans tapping in to an underground aquifer.

Are we at the stage of the year where in order to get sun it needs to be hot and humid? Cool/grey...hot/humid/sunny. Eventually that'll flip where it's either cold/windy/sunny or gross/humid/cloudy....but we're not there yet.

Just got up to the home in DC. What a swamp. Was 88F as I rolled in.

What is this shit? PJM has declared a grid emergency due to high temps and outages. Fall is usually when stations do their annual outages due to cooler temps. Man, those were the days. Now it's summer all year with 6wks of winter wedged in there.

2.4" here in Calvert.

Haven't gone out to do a close inspection of the rain gauge but so far it's somewhere between 1" and 2". It's very still and gross out, the tree frogs seem to be confused about what time of year it is.

0.93" so far and raining steady now.

Man we have so many deer around here it's insane. Even with dense forest all over they've been mowing down my mountain laurel all year so you know they're desperate. My house is too close to others to shoot them with a rifle so I was thinking about getting a crossbow at some point. I could literally just walk out on my back deck on any given evening and net dinner for the next couple months whenever I want. I wish there was an easier way to reduce population numbers, they're destroying the local flora. Went on a 3mi hike and it was really gross out in the woods with a ton of mosquitoes.

44.9F the low here.

Yeah it seems like in SoMD pretty much everything is better in a nina other than drought. I still miss a good noreaster even if it if mostly white rain. But not this never ending gloom shit.

Pfft, if this is what we have to look forward to in the el nino - gray, misty, wet every weekend - bring back the la nina.

Still raining here. Up to 0.5", 61F. Fired up the fireplace for the first time this season!

Cue all the pro twitter Mets: "This is a very complicated setup and we won't know how it's gonna end up until it ends up".

Yeah I'm an electrical engineer - primarily power systems and their controls.

Hey I'm consulting for a SMR job right now. It's onshore though...and I'm only in charge of the electrical/controls part, nothing nuclear-specific.

Yeah I'm not too worried about it but it's been persistent and I keep wondering what's with the model that it keeps putting a blob of AN right over the DMV. It's gotta be doing that for some persistent reason. All I could come up with was water temps or hot air bellowing out of DC. In any case I'm getting a good feeling for this winter.

Cansips is looking diesel. Does anybody know why it has that stubborn small blob of AN temps right over the Chesapeake for the winter? It's been there for a number of runs now. Is it something to do with bay water temps that it's picking up on?

I'm not sure what you're expecting out of a nino, like bomb cyclones twice a week or something? We just got through with a solid week with multiple inches of precip. It's been crap clouds with occasional drizzle since Saturday at least. We're tracking precip for the upcoming weekend. Our avg precip is like 4" a month, not 14".

Yeah once we get through Thurs/Fri I think we're good with temps/Dp for the season. But these low clouds need to go.

I'm ready for drought again, this weather is depressing.

Yeah there's a cocorahs by me that has 2.25" for the past seven days. Must've had some heavy rain at some point last week.

My rain gauge has 3" in it though I think an inch of that came last week when I was on vacation.

I'm declaring the pattern has officially changed.