IronTy
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Everything posted by IronTy
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SoMD would be sweating the rain/snow line for the whole event. That's what I want to see, the big ones are always a stressful event down here.
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That's clearly some sort of anomalous error and not representative of normal. Most people I know IRL just use their apple weather app when they check the weather, they're not going to AccuWeather.com much less listening to the local news or looking at models. I can't think of the last time any person has ever talked to me about the weather forecast they saw on TV.
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I'll take my chances straddling the warm/cold boundary, that's where the action can be. 60F/sunny and 20F/sunny look the exact same through my window on Christmas day.
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Live weathercasters are pretty much obsolete at this point outside of extreme events which the news stations just cover anyway. Everybody can look at their phone for decent real-time forecasts whenever and wherever they want nowadays.
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Probably that and some confirmation bias on my part after reading that previous post.
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What happened? We went from December-to-remember to canceling winter in 12hrs, best I can tell. This is JB level capitulation.
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Somebody mentioned this earlier... Was driving home from Annapolis this afternoon and noticed a Japanese cherry that was about half in bloom. Wonder why, not like it's been warm out or anything this fall. Weird.
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That low for 12/5 needs to be in the Florida Keys at this point for me to take it serious at this range on the GFS.
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Winter forecast on the rocks? Ain't no surprise. I'm sure last fall there are those who doubted my patented Wayne Dyer Spiritual Forecasting Principles(tm). But we all saw how central Calvert was jackpot for the big storm and got several snows afterwards. If you employ these principles you might manifest the northward shift in the snows.
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We all know March is gonna be cold, windy and cloudy. It's the surest call of them all.
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It's just like last winter already. Don't get too down, they'll let up. In May.
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I've noted that trend too. Especially with the euro.
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We're going full pleistocene baby! Apologies to northern Michigan though.
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When I look at last year's snowfall it seems pretty normal outside of the anomalous Gulf Coast snow. Sure we got more snow in Calvert county than Baltimore but that was really just luck from one storm and it due to climate shift. At least that's my take.
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So are we gonna have an epic winter with big snows or is it gonna be cold, dry and windy? That's the question.
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Baltimore got almost 3ft of snow from the 2016 blizzard where SoMD got just over a foot. You had to know there'd be payback for that.
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15F and it looks kike about 2" of snow in Garrett. 32F here in Calvert. My sister in Charlotte, SC sent us a video of a show shower yesterday afternoon so yeah it was snowing there.
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Me? Maybe. My wife and dog? No.
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Sorry, Deep Creek Lake area.
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Game cam reports more snow at DCL with a high of 33F now 29F, at least at 3k ft.
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Looks like upslope snow right now near DCL.
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That dude just posted a map of basically every possible storm track we could get so he's got his bases covered. Surprised he didn't throw the SER in there as a possibility just to cover the failure mode. ETA - I was looking at his maps and couldn't figure out where Baltimore is, can anybody help?
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I got a good feeling for this December. Lube up your snow shovels, gonna need them. I'm even seeing a white Christmas on the table. Of course I'll be up at the cabin for Christmas with the wood stove on blast.
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I started and stopped reading the article with this sentence. I'm sold. Some of Washington, D.C.’s most memorable winters have come with the QBO in its easterly phase. The multi-blizzard winter of 2009-2010 (56.1") was an easterly QBO winter, as was 2002-2003 (29.0")...
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I like WxBell maps the best and their map interface is easy and works good on mobile. Plus JB is actually entertaining to listen to on his daily videos even if he does see a winter storm behind every blade of grass.
