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IronTy

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Everything posted by IronTy

  1. Our house in Calvert is right near Breezy Point. How we looking?
  2. Question for mets and model gurus. When data gets fed into a model (i.e., GFS), I understand in the satellite era how it's pretty easy to get temp data and precip/humidity. But how do they capture atmospheric dynamics like the various vortices? Clearly just utilizing weather station data and weather balloons wouldn't be near a high enough resolution to initialize a model accurately. Do they do something fancy with satellites and refraction to measure Eddy currents in the atmosphere?
  3. I love these late season snow storms. After Valentine's Day im rooting for spring and warm and moth season weather so rain is fine with me. But I'm still a snow weenie so I'll always welcome a HECS. Just don't give me a cold and windy March!
  4. Probably best he stay off the forums then. It's can't be helpful for ulcers. Seriously though, hope he comes through ok to at least get to watch the snow through the window.
  5. That's good info to know, thank you for explaining the math. My engineer brain can sleep now.
  6. As an engineer who designs powerplants...I see these these ranges they throw out and almost get an anxiety attack. Lol 1-12" for dover.
  7. I've never noticed them before, do you know what the two thick black lines in the graphic represent Era, duh nevermind now I see how they've broken it into three zones.
  8. WJLA forecast...Veronica Johnson? Those are some strange odds they use to calculate? "5% odds....strike that, make it one in twenty-five!"
  9. Thanks, that makes it clear! My wife is supposed to travel to Philadelphia Monday morning. Should I break to her the news?
  10. Where are you referring to? GFS looks close to 3" precip right along the bay?
  11. I'll take my 30" of snow thank you very much. Safe to say I'll be doing this storm at the house in Calvert.
  12. Are we thinking this storm will be similar to the 1/2022 storm we had where it was pouring rain one minute and then dumping snow paste the next where we ended up with a foot of snow and a ton of downed trees in Calvert? I understand the synoptics aren't the same here but the results could be similar?
  13. This is rare air. I'm gonna be so nervous to check the 06Z when I wake up. I might come here first and see how many pages of new posts to set expectations before I log on WB.
  14. Wait so you mean one or more of the models might not be right? Get outta here.
  15. Haha, no I just do it for fun and am nowhere good enough to play publicly other than a handful of pieces that I've really worked on as I've moved.past the beginner stage. I'm no pro like @Maestrobjwa
  16. Two years ago I didn't even know how to read music and now I'd say I'm an advanced-beginner or just barely intermediate. It's a deceptively challenging piece for sure. I do have one advantage in that I went through a period of about five years of severe depression so I've definitely lived the piece! And I do seem to have an abnormal ability to memorize a piece which of course helps.
  17. I've got a piano recital on Tuesday, I'm gonna do Chopin Op. 28 No 4. Hoping to be snowed in instead.
  18. GFS probably hasn't ingested the latest moon phase data. Once it does....it's over.
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