IronTy

Another day, another forecast bust by the pros. Local mesonet says 0.01". I got more than that in my yard but still not enough to even soak through the leaf layer on the ground.

At this point I'd declare a quarter inch rain event a cat 3 NESIS storm.

HRRR is bullish for late tonight into tomorrow morning. I'm hopeful.

0.05" so far today. Gotta hope for a storm or two overnight.

87F it's like a blast furnace down here. Cut the lawn and everything is straw and shit is just blowing all over the place. We need some rain out of the system this week!

I said I was going to take the under on that prediction when you originally said it was going to get wet. Shoulda listened to me, Happyness = Reality - Expectations. I don't see any major shift until a bit later. Maybe June or July before the SE waterhose gets directed to us. Unless we luck out with an early season tropical system. JB is on watch for that before the MDR shuts down by mid season.

I went down the rabbit hole of the climate in the mid Atlantic during the Paleocene epoch, under the assumption that were slowly heading in that direction with climate. Of course there's no ironclad consensus, but the studies I read did seem to indicate that our region was drier during that time. Especially the winters were very dry with somewhat more moisture during the summer.

There's a large blob of rain on the radar that would bring precip to the southern portion of the DMV, assuming it doesn't fall apart over the mountains.

Steve Rudin said 0.5" to 1" tomorrow on the WJLA radio weather forecast...you can take that to the bank.

This crap cold weather couldn't come at a worse time. The rubber band is going to snap back to mega heat just in time for the hottest part of the year. It's gonna be 110F DPs and derechos all the way down.

Pretty much sums up the Nina precip pattern.

Wth when did we become the armpit of the weather world? Was 56F and breaks in cloud cover when I left the cabin...now down here in Calvert it's 51F and solid gray. Gross breeze too.

Drove in to Accident to go to the cheese shop and drove through some very heavy rain. We've had on and off rain here - got in a 3.5mile bushwhacking to The Glades earlier and avoided any rain then luckily.

Radar is not looking particularly inspiring for drought relief. I planted a whole bunch of mountain laurel at the cabin yesterday and it's sprinkling right now so I'll take it.

Wasn't last July the most humid July on record? We need another month like that, seems like there were thunderstorms every day that month.

34F in Huntingtown, yay we avoided the freeze. Not so at the cabin, 28F there in Swanton.

If we could get weatherbell to put out a pollen accumulation graph in Kuchera ratios I bet it would be more than we get in snow during an average winter.

Funny story, years ago when I first bought kayaks down here, we got them in April so of course I was pumped try them out. We got out on one of the tributaries dumping into the bay and a 30mph wind came up when we were about 1/4mile from shore with temps in the low 50s. Holy shit I swear it felt like the scene from The Perfect Storm with the guys on the boat and the tsunami barreling down on them. I learned very quickly how helpless a kayak is in any sort of wind and rough water. Wife was not happy. I also quickly learned how impossible it can be to paddle against the tide no matter how serene it looks. Now I check the tide charts before going out.

I won't be hanging my hat on that forecast. That said, next weekend I'll be up at the cabin so it would track that it would turn cold, windy and rainy. At least in the mountains.

Soooo...cold and dry and windy?

84F at my house right now. Hard to imagine a worse combination for pollen - sudden summer heat, strong dry wind, drought...it's thick.

Man it's cold right by the water. When will this damn onshore breeze end? 54F at my house. Can't even open the windows.

Humidity is crazy low today. I'm hoping to put my humidifier away for good starting tomorrow.

Now is when I appreciate living right next to the bay. Should moderate the temps down here a bit.

It's lifting north at a good pace now. I'm just breaking into sun as I type this as confirmed by the satellite image.