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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    Nothing falling in Falls Church. Looks like 0.5” but I’ll do a real measurement later. Yet again we find out that temps don’t matter if rates are good, but if the snow is light, temps are crucial.
  2. MN Transplant
    Flake size is terrible and it is still above freezing.
  3. MN Transplant
    Now the ground is getting white. 34.0
  4. MN Transplant
    Good thing we have a few more days before the event! 36.2. Snowflakes aren't melting as fast.
  5. MN Transplant
    So, over 6 hours. 38.4 here. Occasional snowflakes wafting down.
  6. MN Transplant
    Only place with 2"+ precip is right on the Cape. Kind of takes "historic" off the table.
  7. MN Transplant
    The latest HRRR puts DC into the 40s, but it still ends up ok because the precip is a bit delayed.
  8. MN Transplant
    I think there is still timing issues. Some of the data is coming later for free, but still, it does take a bite out of the full pay sites or the "upgrade" sites (Pivotal, Windy, Weather.us, etc.).
  9. MN Transplant
    35.8 College of Dupage has also added the 06/18z Euro! We are going to see a lot of the sites upgrade their Euro offerings with the news this week that ECMWF has opened up a bunch of their data for free.
  10. MN Transplant
    If you click on the floater segment from College of Dupage you can get to the 1 hr precipitation for the NAM Nest. There is a band mid-day tomorrow up by BOS that is ~0.30". Awesome stuff. I toyed with buzzing up to Atlantic City also, but it maxes out at about 0.10"/hr and is in the wee hours of the morning. While this would last longer and have more wind, I've already seen those rates this year on Jan 3rd.
  11. MN Transplant
    NAM things
  12. MN Transplant
    30.9 Laughing at the 06z NAM.
  13. MN Transplant
    I’d be lying if I said that I didn’t just peek at hotels in Worchester.
  14. MN Transplant
    They got NAM’d
  15. MN Transplant
    I don’t know why we can’t talk about Boston. This was never our storm. It looks awesome up there. Sometimes it is fun to just marvel at a big one.
  16. MN Transplant
    Worse than the parent NAM, but like the HRRR is has been getting slightly wetter.
  17. MN Transplant
    Interesting that the 12k NAM keep the high near freezing while the 3k and HRRR send DC to 36-37.
  18. MN Transplant
    Worchester, MA snow forecast (10:1) 18z NAM: 20.0” 18z NAM Nest: 3.0” 12z GFS: 1.8” 12z Euro: 9.0” Good luck, forecasters.
  19. MN Transplant
    I know that the HRRR can be…sketchy, but the low precip totals that it is putting out for coastal areas is amazing.
  20. MN Transplant
    Honestly, the modeling at a high level has been extremely consistent. This whole time we’ve been trying to weenie-cast a storm to the 95 corridor, while the models have developed it too late and offshore. But, in a shocking twist, the storm is going to develop late and offshore.
  21. MN Transplant
    I appreciate everyone’s enthusiasm, but all this did was take the shutout off the table. It is still a light event for almost all of us.
  22. MN Transplant
    You don’t want the vort in Vegas?
  23. MN Transplant
    As a Vikings fan, I’m reveling in the Packers loss. Having ex-Bear Gould with the dagger is just icing.
  24. MN Transplant
    Does this hold for longer periods, like the 12th-14th and 20th-22nd?
  25. MN Transplant
    Looks like my high is going to be 26.4. DCA is also stuck somewhere around 26/27. Again, coldest since 2019.
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