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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
  2. MN Transplant
    Approaching 1" precip, all snow in the DC area by 12z Friday. Still snowing.
  3. MN Transplant
    Lazy bums, the whole lot of you
  4. MN Transplant
  5. MN Transplant
    Something might fall from the sky.
  6. MN Transplant
    Nah, I had a dud earlier this winter
  7. MN Transplant
    Now that there is another potential threat within 7 days, it might be good to break out the W-F event into a separate thread, curse be damned. @stormtracker
  8. MN Transplant
    Low tracks from Tallahassee to offshore of Ocean City. We'll take our chances with that.
  9. MN Transplant
    DC itself does better on Thurs/Fri than with the initial stuff.
  10. MN Transplant
    Yeah, basically. Still, you and I still want the boundary further south like the Euro has it. The GFS is pretty good for our northern MD neighbors.
  11. MN Transplant
    Yeah, GFS is dry but doesn't blast the 850s through. The 850 line is right at DC on Thursday morning.
  12. MN Transplant
    RGEM has the R/S boundary near DC for the first wave on Wednesday.
  13. MN Transplant
    Prior to my time in town. The surprising thing about the 12z HRRR was the precip breaking out so early. But, the weighting on this one is still low.
  14. MN Transplant
    I approve. Which one was this?
  15. MN Transplant
    One image tells all
  16. MN Transplant
    22.3 here. I got to 19 once last winter.
  17. MN Transplant
    Ha. We can’t afford any type of amped system. We can do a nice gentle overrunning, but if this thing gets overactive it’ll flood us and we can kiss any snow goodbye.
  18. MN Transplant
    GFS top (DuPage, 00z) Euro bottom (Pivotal, 12z) for early Thursday. 850 winds
  19. MN Transplant
    Gfs has become completely useless lately for ptypes and Temps While I agree, I don’t like how strong the winds are out of the SW aloft.
  20. MN Transplant
    Looks like a sleety mess on the GFS.
  21. MN Transplant
    You did a lot better than me, just to your west (0.50" total). And DCA got 0.49" to your east. Good banding.
  22. MN Transplant
    1.5" - 12/16 0.1" - 12/18 0.1" - 1/25 4.7" - 1/31 to 2/2 1.7" - 2/7 Total: 8.1"
  23. MN Transplant
    Simply put, it the snow doesn't have the time or opportunity to melt on the way to the surface. It is generally going to be a shallow (and relatively dry) warm layer when it snows at 40.
  24. MN Transplant
    Right on 0.50” total precip. 0.19” fell as rain 0.31” and 1.7” snow equals a nice 5.5:1 ratio when it was snowing. The HRRR/NAM Kuchera ratios weren’t far off. HRRR was too dry from a distance, but it nailed the front end rain and the temps.
  25. MN Transplant
    Calling it at 1.7”. I’ll grab the liquid after everything stops falling. The ratios are going to be...subpar.
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