Jump to content

MN Transplant

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    17,267

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    This, except not ironically. This precip shield is flying.
  2. MN Transplant
    I like how the ice pellets that are falling now are making divots in the prior sleet cover.
  3. MN Transplant
  4. MN Transplant
    7am CoCoRaHS report was .06” precip, T snow. DCA 0.09” so far. IAD at 6 miles vis. It is hard to look out the window and tell that anything is falling.
  5. MN Transplant
    They will be launching the balloon from Dulles in a few minutes. We’ll get the results in 45-60 min. The SPC mesoanalysis page has a model-derived estimate of the upper air structure right now. 850s are a problem (more than 700 or 925). I’m guessing there is even a worse layer in there above 850.
  6. MN Transplant
    No, it is a better tool when there is one distinct transition. This is a mess.
  7. MN Transplant
    Should I post the CC radar for you? 26.7 and all sleet
  8. MN Transplant
    The NAM was terrible from 3 days out.
  9. MN Transplant
    3k is a sleet event right from the start in DC. 1” qpf.
  10. MN Transplant
    The 850 temp change from 09z to 12z are...not entirely believable.
  11. MN Transplant
    Legit snorted. HRRR continues to look ok for DC. All snow through 14z with sleet knocking on the door, but heavy precip.
  12. MN Transplant
    Weather boards. Serious business. 33.8 and a very pleasant day out there. Snow board is set up and ready for some sort of precipitation.
  13. MN Transplant
    ~0.4” QPF from 11-13z at DCA on the 18z 3k NAM
  14. MN Transplant
    The GFS is almost 1.5” QPF at DCA, all frozen. That is an amazing model run, even if it is only some front end snow.
  15. MN Transplant
    The trough axis at that point is in the central Plains. While we do pop a surface low in the right spot, this is not a good setup for an all-snow event for our region, no matter what the year is.
  16. MN Transplant
    The 12z HRRR is sure a pick-me-up.
  17. MN Transplant
    24.0. Mostly sunny.
  18. MN Transplant
    FYI - the total precip at DCA for the Valentines 2007 sleet bomb was 1.06”. So, this is right in that ballpark.
  19. MN Transplant
    Something is falling at DCA
  20. MN Transplant
    Our neighborhood crocus house has a bunch up, but everything is definitely later than last year.
  21. MN Transplant
    That’s the run we’ve been impatiently waiting for.
  22. MN Transplant
    It looks like 12z was a weird blip. Check this out.
  23. MN Transplant
    While generally true, the 18z NAM 3k is just a region wide precip show. DC isn't even in the best band, almost everyone is 0.75"+ in that time period.
  24. MN Transplant
    Well, here's your relevant NAM trend
  25. MN Transplant
    3k has 0.91" precip in 6 hours from 12z-18z. While I want that all to be snow, the sleet beatdown would be crazy to watch (and hear).
×
×
  • Create New...