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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    ~0.4” QPF from 11-13z at DCA on the 18z 3k NAM
  2. MN Transplant
    The GFS is almost 1.5” QPF at DCA, all frozen. That is an amazing model run, even if it is only some front end snow.
  3. MN Transplant
    The trough axis at that point is in the central Plains. While we do pop a surface low in the right spot, this is not a good setup for an all-snow event for our region, no matter what the year is.
  4. MN Transplant
    The 12z HRRR is sure a pick-me-up.
  5. MN Transplant
    24.0. Mostly sunny.
  6. MN Transplant
    FYI - the total precip at DCA for the Valentines 2007 sleet bomb was 1.06”. So, this is right in that ballpark.
  7. MN Transplant
    Something is falling at DCA
  8. MN Transplant
    Our neighborhood crocus house has a bunch up, but everything is definitely later than last year.
  9. MN Transplant
    That’s the run we’ve been impatiently waiting for.
  10. MN Transplant
    It looks like 12z was a weird blip. Check this out.
  11. MN Transplant
    While generally true, the 18z NAM 3k is just a region wide precip show. DC isn't even in the best band, almost everyone is 0.75"+ in that time period.
  12. MN Transplant
    Well, here's your relevant NAM trend
  13. MN Transplant
    3k has 0.91" precip in 6 hours from 12z-18z. While I want that all to be snow, the sleet beatdown would be crazy to watch (and hear).
  14. MN Transplant
    NAM is going to have a big win, or go down with the ship, it appears.
  15. MN Transplant
    And I have 7" to show for it. The time spent per inch of snow ratio is...unfavorable.
  16. MN Transplant
    I think we can do it. Our most recent single-digits cold snap isn't actually all that long ago (Jan 31, 2019). 10 at DCA, 6 at my house, probably colder everywhere else.
  17. MN Transplant
    Ha. It has been a bit since we've been that cold.
  18. MN Transplant
    Single digits for most of us outside the city cores on Sunday morning.
  19. MN Transplant
    Keeps Friday near freezing, maximizing our cold chances into the weekend.
  20. MN Transplant
    One of these things is not like the other. One of these things (hopefully) doesn't belong.
  21. MN Transplant
    This is still a wild difference at 700mb. 12z NAM and 06z GFS for Thursday morning.
  22. MN Transplant
    It is lighter, but we do get back into some frozen later in the evening also on the NAM.
  23. MN Transplant
    This is 3hrs of pounding sleet in DC on the NAM 3k
  24. MN Transplant
    Well, we've taken a step backwards on the 3km. No front-end thump.
  25. MN Transplant
    NAM is mid-20s at the surface during the morning quick hit of snow.
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