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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    I have >1" QPF in 6 hours on the 3k. Right into my veins.
  2. MN Transplant
    53.9 now. No snow on snow
  3. MN Transplant
    We're all just ignoring the 12z HRRR, right
  4. MN Transplant
    0.06" rain overnight. 46.0 already.
  5. MN Transplant
    Do either of you know whether the Kucera ratio is applied at the NCEP level or if it is something that is derived by each of the individual map providers? I know that College of Dupage has added a map of the Kucera ratio. For this storm, it is ~7:1.
  6. MN Transplant
    Don’t hate that
  7. MN Transplant
    3km is slightly NW of the parent NAM
  8. MN Transplant
    Pretty wet still in that stripe. Over 1” qpf in central VA.
  9. MN Transplant
    This run stops the northern trend, for now.
  10. MN Transplant
    46.8 and my front yard is now majority grass.
  11. MN Transplant
    That’s amazing. I had 6” from the 1/30/10 storm and then another 5” from the 2/3/10 event. I don’t think I would have had snow over ahead of the big storm without the nice snowfall a couple of days before.
  12. MN Transplant
    Yeah, that's why it is in the banter thread. It was whiplash to wake up and open the Euro and seeing that, and then coming here to see all of the optimism about the storm this weekend. But it does look like the Euro is on an island in terms of temps.
  13. MN Transplant
    00z Euro forecast at DCA for the next 6 days: 45, 52, 49, 54, 56, 55.
  14. MN Transplant
    Looking at CoCoRahs data, it looks like the total precip was roughly 0.5" to 1.0". So, several of the models really busted high on the QPF, setting aside any question about snow maps.
  15. MN Transplant
    1.5" - 12/16 0.1" - 12/18 0.1" - 1/25 4.7" - 1/31 to 2/2 Total: 6.4"
  16. MN Transplant
    Yeah, not necessarily favoring the GFS here.
  17. MN Transplant
    The 12z GFS verbatim actually is a stinker. Not only is there no snow through 7 days, it doesn't send the core of the cold down to us.
  18. MN Transplant
    It is definitely snowglobe snow. It has popped above freezing now, so it shouldn't be a travel hazard.
  19. MN Transplant
    I feel like if you see something anomalous, you want a pretty good model consensus to go that way. And never trust the RGEM if it is doing something stupid.
  20. MN Transplant
    Verification (IMBY) 3.2" Sunday 1.5" Monday/Tuesday Always go with the pessimistic forecast
  21. MN Transplant
    We're looking at the area north of Germantown/Gaithersburg/Rockville.
  22. MN Transplant
    Street back to being covered. Nice to freshen up the snow.
  23. MN Transplant
    The GFS has been showing precip along the cold frontal passage at the edge of the arctic airmass at 6-7 days. Those can be squall-y and fun if it comes together right. Something to keep an eye on.
  24. MN Transplant
    Certainly is colder than many of the models thought for this morning. 26.2 here. Two day total of 3.2" snow and 0.38" precip, the last 0.05" was ice. CoCoRaHS two-day reports
  25. MN Transplant
    The GFS has an event. Different evolution with a wave along a stalled front. It could work, but the whole setup is in flux. Too far out, still.
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