I'm a little skeptical of the very warm to historic warm November at least here in the east. The first 3 days look very warm however the operational and ensembles are now showing a ridge out west and a trough in the east thru the 10th. We look to go neutral nao/ao and +pna and possibly 8 thru 3 mjo. Maybe the second half torches but I'm not seeing that for the first half of November att
Will be interesting to see if this wave can go 8 thru 3. Hasn't really happened in late fall and winter the last few years.
Euro says no 2nd image.
Gfs 1st image
@bluewave you were monitoring the mjo in october for clues about this coming winter. With October starting in phase 1 and ending in the COD mid month does this give you any hints regarding winter
There is no heat wave for the boroughs, long Island southern conn and westchester. That's about 70% of this sub forum. 1010 wins is right. It's somewhat uncomfortable out and well above normal but no heat wave
The heavy band that was over Northwest new Jersey and the one South of Long Island are now converging over the nyc/wli Westchester county and Northeast new Jersey.