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binbisso

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Everything posted by binbisso

  1. binbisso
    The trend so far on today's 12Z guidance Is the lead short wave is further East. We need that as Far East as possible before it turns the corner up the coast. That should allow for a more northeasterly component to the wind and help lock in whatever cold air we have.
  2. binbisso
    The rgem has very heavy precip right over nyc and adjacent nj early on. Model shows snow. I believe we will need heavy rates and wet bulb to snow there. Clown map just for fun.
  3. binbisso
    No. That's the mean. In the new England thread they have the different percentiles
  4. binbisso
    Taken from mid Atlantic thread. All is not lost. Hopefully we can get a few inches out of this.
  5. binbisso
    Confluence as much better through hour 72.
  6. binbisso
    Man you have to love el-nino. What an active pattern. We should have plenty of chances the next two weeks. Maybe we fail but fun to track
  7. binbisso
    Yup. Gfs has another one on the 15th.
  8. binbisso
    The two positives are The snow will fall at night and temperatures Friday night will be in the low 20s away from the immediate shore and heat islands.
  9. binbisso
    For the tenth we need that trailing s/w on the 7th to amplify as it moves towards the Canadian maritime. Set up a nice 50/50 low
  10. binbisso
    Big hp in Eastern Canada. Those are hard to move in January
  11. binbisso
    Wow at the cmc for the 10th. Gfs also.
  12. binbisso
    It looks like the storm on the 11th setting up nicely on this Euro run.
  13. binbisso
    A 100% agree. Just get us to near normal temperature wise on January 1st and I'll roll the dice with that 500 MB pattern the ensembles are showing
  14. binbisso
    Yeah I don't get it. By January 1st were starting to get to peak climo. Who wants 15° for a high temperature and 0 for a low? We don't need that. We need a favorable 500 mb Pattern with storm sliding on south of us, which is exactly What guidance is showing. Otherwise it's congrats Richmond.
  15. binbisso
    A plus 4 temperature departure at 7 AM January 1st is plenty cold to snow In much of the sub forum. At that time my normal low is 25°. As long as the system is beneath us, which is what guidance is showing,
  16. binbisso
    I like seeing these strong hp to our north and the trough underneath us. Also n/s short waves sliding down the ridge in Central Canada will give us chances until that ridge moves west. Should be cold enough for frozen if they slide under us. So while this December will be solidly above normal I think we should have some opportunities for snow
  17. binbisso
    Ukie is also plenty cold with Temps in the upper 20's for Tuesday night/Wednesday morning
  18. binbisso
    Cmc, ukie, and icon all have the trailing n/s vort. Ukie looks the best ATM
  19. binbisso
    Yup. Maybe sooner.
  20. binbisso
    Yes. Give me all The Pacific puke air all you want in late December and especially January just keep that trough beneath us. There's snow in the forecast just Northwest of all the big cities this weekend. Reading this forum that would seem impossible.
  21. binbisso
    I wonder how many times the plows came through from December 96 through March of 2000.
  22. binbisso
    850's
  23. binbisso
    I wonder if we can sneak and event here in the 8 to 12 day period. There's a big PNA spike on the GE FS And the pretty significant change from the ensemble from several days prior. New run Old run
  24. binbisso
    I have noticed that too. It looks like we will have our chances thru mid month. After that who knows. Climo is still against us as we need at least - 5 or better departures for snow down to the coast in early December. Most likely We will ave +1 or so thru Dec 15th with both colder and warmer periods. Plenty of S/W coming in from the pac just have to time one right.
  25. binbisso
    I have a question. Does it even matter at this point if region 3.4 goes over 2.0 tri monthly? The earliest that could happen would be early February. Isn't there a lag. Right now oni Is high end moderate. Shouldn't seasonal forecasters look for analogs using where oni is now?
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