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binbisso

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Everything posted by binbisso

  1. Man you have to love el-nino. What an active pattern. We should have plenty of chances the next two weeks. Maybe we fail but fun to track
  2. Yup. Gfs has another one on the 15th.
  3. For the tenth we need that trailing s/w on the 7th to amplify as it moves towards the Canadian maritime. Set up a nice 50/50 low
  4. Big hp in Eastern Canada. Those are hard to move in January
  5. It looks like the storm on the 11th setting up nicely on this Euro run.
  6. A 100% agree. Just get us to near normal temperature wise on January 1st and I'll roll the dice with that 500 MB pattern the ensembles are showing
  7. Yeah I don't get it. By January 1st were starting to get to peak climo. Who wants 15° for a high temperature and 0 for a low? We don't need that. We need a favorable 500 mb Pattern with storm sliding on south of us, which is exactly What guidance is showing. Otherwise it's congrats Richmond.
  8. A plus 4 temperature departure at 7 AM January 1st is plenty cold to snow In much of the sub forum. At that time my normal low is 25°. As long as the system is beneath us, which is what guidance is showing,
  9. I like seeing these strong hp to our north and the trough underneath us. Also n/s short waves sliding down the ridge in Central Canada will give us chances until that ridge moves west. Should be cold enough for frozen if they slide under us. So while this December will be solidly above normal I think we should have some opportunities for snow
  10. Yes. Give me all The Pacific puke air all you want in late December and especially January just keep that trough beneath us. There's snow in the forecast just Northwest of all the big cities this weekend. Reading this forum that would seem impossible.
  11. I wonder how many times the plows came through from December 96 through March of 2000.
  12. I wonder if we can sneak and event here in the 8 to 12 day period. There's a big PNA spike on the GE FS And the pretty significant change from the ensemble from several days prior. New run Old run
  13. I have noticed that too. It looks like we will have our chances thru mid month. After that who knows. Climo is still against us as we need at least - 5 or better departures for snow down to the coast in early December. Most likely We will ave +1 or so thru Dec 15th with both colder and warmer periods. Plenty of S/W coming in from the pac just have to time one right.
  14. I have a question. Does it even matter at this point if region 3.4 goes over 2.0 tri monthly? The earliest that could happen would be early February. Isn't there a lag. Right now oni Is high end moderate. Shouldn't seasonal forecasters look for analogs using where oni is now?
  15. Why can't we have all three? I think what happens with the EPO will be the determining factor for our Winter with the regards to how much snow we get. There should be plenty of storm chances with the strong Nino But will there be enough cold air for it to be frozen?
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