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binbisso

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Everything posted by binbisso

  1. binbisso
    A 100% agree. Just get us to near normal temperature wise on January 1st and I'll roll the dice with that 500 MB pattern the ensembles are showing
  2. binbisso
    Yeah I don't get it. By January 1st were starting to get to peak climo. Who wants 15° for a high temperature and 0 for a low? We don't need that. We need a favorable 500 mb Pattern with storm sliding on south of us, which is exactly What guidance is showing. Otherwise it's congrats Richmond.
  3. binbisso
    A plus 4 temperature departure at 7 AM January 1st is plenty cold to snow In much of the sub forum. At that time my normal low is 25°. As long as the system is beneath us, which is what guidance is showing,
  4. binbisso
    I like seeing these strong hp to our north and the trough underneath us. Also n/s short waves sliding down the ridge in Central Canada will give us chances until that ridge moves west. Should be cold enough for frozen if they slide under us. So while this December will be solidly above normal I think we should have some opportunities for snow
  5. binbisso
    Ukie is also plenty cold with Temps in the upper 20's for Tuesday night/Wednesday morning
  6. binbisso
    Cmc, ukie, and icon all have the trailing n/s vort. Ukie looks the best ATM
  7. binbisso
    Yup. Maybe sooner.
  8. binbisso
    Yes. Give me all The Pacific puke air all you want in late December and especially January just keep that trough beneath us. There's snow in the forecast just Northwest of all the big cities this weekend. Reading this forum that would seem impossible.
  9. binbisso
    I wonder how many times the plows came through from December 96 through March of 2000.
  10. binbisso
    850's
  11. binbisso
    I wonder if we can sneak and event here in the 8 to 12 day period. There's a big PNA spike on the GE FS And the pretty significant change from the ensemble from several days prior. New run Old run
  12. binbisso
    I have noticed that too. It looks like we will have our chances thru mid month. After that who knows. Climo is still against us as we need at least - 5 or better departures for snow down to the coast in early December. Most likely We will ave +1 or so thru Dec 15th with both colder and warmer periods. Plenty of S/W coming in from the pac just have to time one right.
  13. binbisso
    I have a question. Does it even matter at this point if region 3.4 goes over 2.0 tri monthly? The earliest that could happen would be early February. Isn't there a lag. Right now oni Is high end moderate. Shouldn't seasonal forecasters look for analogs using where oni is now?
  14. binbisso
    Gfs getting closer
  15. binbisso
  16. binbisso
    And icon too!
  17. binbisso
    Why can't we have all three? I think what happens with the EPO will be the determining factor for our Winter with the regards to how much snow we get. There should be plenty of storm chances with the strong Nino But will there be enough cold air for it to be frozen?
  18. binbisso
    It's also nice to have a negative EPO. Would be nice if we can get a few negative EPO periods This Winter.
  19. binbisso
    Yup. We are also losing the negative PNA next week. I wonder if it's in response to the rapidly rising PDO? Old run New run
  20. binbisso
    Yes just saw this. The PNA is trending less negative however. we'll see what happens.
  21. binbisso
    Both the operational GFS & CMC have lost the -PNA In the 7 plus day range. Older run New run
  22. binbisso
  23. binbisso
    Just relentless rain not as heavy as before but still steady. Water is running down my street as the Hutchinson river which is across the street from my house has overflowed its banks.
  24. binbisso
    Yes. I have a few inches in My basement I had 3 feet with ida.
  25. binbisso
    You can add Westchester County into that also. right now light rain in the Bronx.
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