With it being close you can probably follow radar trends but it occurring at night with bitter cold air moving in gives this a chance to stick if rates materialize. Also, HRRR shows the meso low you’re talking about and that could conceivably cause some heavier rates than otherwise would be expected with such dry air in play. These systems are tricky but can cause a pretty heavy burst of high ratio snow if it gets convective in nature. We’re talking 1/2” ceiling but the potential is there