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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    Big run for Triad/Virginia incoming! Triangle looks like ice
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Are we going to… get NAM’d???
  3. NorthHillsWx
    NAM looks like it’s going to be a good run
  4. NorthHillsWx
    1-6 inches of snow/sleet with up to 0.20” ZR. Did note for wake “predominantly snow and sleet with a relatively short period of freezing rain”
  5. NorthHillsWx
    As if on cue. RAH watches out
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Morehead City issued WSW for almost their entire area
  7. NorthHillsWx
    I’m gonna disagree with some of the posts above. HRRR looks like it’s getting ready to crank. SLP still back south of Fl panhandle and precip is blossoming over NC and extending back to N Ga. I think this was about to fill in across the state. It’s also slower. Now, I’m not going to argue over the hour 48 HRRR but i don’t think that’s a bad look for what was to come
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Looks like every ensemble trended weaker/east
  9. NorthHillsWx
    AKA a glacier
  10. NorthHillsWx
    RAH has brought down expected snowfall totals. Raleigh has expected 2” high end 3”. Booooooo
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Both the NAM and FV3 turn Raleigh proper over to ZR for the majority of the event. It’s still a major possibility. Plain rain is off the table though and we will have some sleet for sure. I’m not sold on us seeing any snow until the NAM shows it at 12z tomorrow. I’ve been burnt by NAM thermals for years I’m not letting it get me this time. It is very good at assessing thermals in a miller-A. Like the best. Seeing it mix into Virginia worries me, even at range
  12. NorthHillsWx
    I mean from modeling that seems very reasonable and in fact you could even move the mixed bag area further north if NAM thermals are your thing…
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Great job. I could not agree with this more given what we’ve seen
  14. NorthHillsWx
    It truly has been the model with the highest variance through this event. But you want it on your side under 48 hours
  15. NorthHillsWx
    That band over Raleigh is fools gold. The main coastal is too far offshore and trended much worse
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Not saying it’s wrong but EURO is WAY south of everything else now
  17. NorthHillsWx
    Ok I’ll be honest I don’t think I looked at the 6z UK because people said it was bad but I didn’t realize it was THAT bad. I guess this was an improvement but still way worse than 0z
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Does not inspire confidence the EURO will make and big changes
  19. NorthHillsWx
    UK is doodoo
  20. NorthHillsWx
    I’m guessing NWS will issue watches after looking at the EURO but my guess is east of 77 through RAH will all be under a watch this afternoon, with maybe the exception of the far southern tier of counties. Side note- they brined 440 near my office in garner
  21. NorthHillsWx
    CMC is 6-10” from Raleigh East with an Elizabeth city 12-15” Jack
  22. NorthHillsWx
    CMC ticked west. Great storm triangle east. Very cold still
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Except RDU was in the jackpot too early. This will trend back to sleet/freezing rain for us. Mark my words lol
  24. NorthHillsWx
    Yep. Bleeding has stopped. Everything so far at 12z looks about the same. Let’s see how far west the precip trends today
  25. NorthHillsWx
    GFS gonna tick slightly wetter this run I believe
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