Jump to content

NorthHillsWx

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,524

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    It’s currently 40.0 with a DP of 27.9. High was 51.3. Don’t think soil temps will be an issue but with a slightly delayed start time we may get above freezing before wet bulbing. Praying we get enough precip for this to matter
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Let’s trim the banter and start to nowcast. Good luck everyone, I started this thing so I’m bringing it home
  3. NorthHillsWx
    It may not be the monster the models thought it would be a couple days ago but it’s snow in the south so let’s get it! Good luck to all and hopefully someone gets buried!
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Might be time for the obs thread to refocus
  5. NorthHillsWx
    You will have 0.5” of sleet and you will like it!
  6. NorthHillsWx
    We’ve reached the point with coastal storms that we can toss models logic and science and just use a man made highway and be correct more than 75% of the time
  7. NorthHillsWx
    RAH mentioned in their 3:30 AFD they expect the mix line to make it to 85. Really not sure where they are getting that other than NAM but it’s hard to ignore
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Last thing I’ll say about the major storm forum, if by your logic it cost us the storm, I’ll gladly sacrifice the 1.50” of ZR it was showing in RDU to watch DC and NYC lose 25” of snow and the subsequent board meltdowns. From the movie Moana “you’re welcome”
  9. NorthHillsWx
    I’m just happy to be here. I’ll report back my 1/2” on mulch tomorrow
  10. NorthHillsWx
    He must be hugging the NAM
  11. NorthHillsWx
    The “major” argument may have F’d the rest of the board but when it was created, I was looking at 0” of snow and now almost all models show 3-6” here. Probably sacrificed everyone for Raleigh to jackpot, but that’s a sacrifice I can live with
  12. NorthHillsWx
    The UK doubled precip for the triangle
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Hey now, we’re the only forum in the game still. NYC, PHILLY, and MA all fell hard but our major winter storm thread has survived!
  14. NorthHillsWx
    I’m cautiously optimistic for Raleigh with the 850 trending south and models consistently showing the fronto band overhead. Not too worried about model QPF unless that moves. Think this could be an over achiever
  15. NorthHillsWx
    GFS looks fantastic here
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Yes. A thunderstorm complex that may or may not exist can completely alter what a CAM sees
  17. NorthHillsWx
    It looks like convection along the gulf coast of Louisiana is what likely caused the changes you see in the NAM. This is one reason CAMs are not always useful in predicting precip amounts. Storm looked similar overall on 3k and 12k is on crack but it did go to rehab finally
  18. NorthHillsWx
    HI RES NAM suffered some convective feedback or initialization issue. Look across the entire footprint of the storm into the Ohio valley, it uniformly cut precip everywhere. That’s not likely correct
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Yes. They may have inched their 2-4 line south a hair
  20. NorthHillsWx
    I don’t think it’s handling the precip shield with the coastal correctly but the fronto band is showing up nicely and that bonus stuff Thursday looks great. If mid levels are good (I can’t believe we’re still talking about them with this track) this should be a pretty big snow for central/eastern NC, including the triangle
  21. NorthHillsWx
    The op never came north of southern Wake. My analysis: it’s going to be extremely close and probably waffles over the city a few times. Northern wake is probably all snow, unless the NAM is correct
  22. NorthHillsWx
    GEFS increased for central NC. Not much change in western areas
  23. NorthHillsWx
    We’ll probably add a nowcast/obs thread at some point this evening for tomorrow’s storm. That always gets me excited
  24. NorthHillsWx
    @Brick Tamland I think you are sitting pretty for a 3-5” storm. That northern wake area east might be the jack. It’s hard to find any *decent* model besides the euro that doesn’t support that
  25. NorthHillsWx
    You didn’t just watch the noon news on WRAL and it shows
×
×
  • Create New...