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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. So you’re saying… Fabulous February will save us???
  2. Our “.25-.50” from NWS turned into 1.14” today
  3. Writing is on the wall. All these posts for a 3 day cold snap then back to the drawing board till it “reloads”. Really not sure it can still snow here
  4. GFS has also warmed tremendously in LT. it screamed a multi week cold snap as recently as yesterday now looks like a 3 day cold period followed by a huge warmup. What a dumpster fire of a winter
  5. Agreed. Todays 12z and tonight’s 0z had better show some movement away from what the GFS just showed or this one might be DOA. The trend is not your friend when those two models are against you 3 days out. Still time and today’s system plays a big part in the final solution. I have never jumped on this system tho. I still believe the following storm is the one to watch
  6. People were a bit too quick to discredit the King ehhh?
  7. I do, and I don’t think Tuesday is the Triads storm either. Maybe some token flakes or ice there? Sure.
  8. I really feel like if it’s going to happen in central NC, it will not be from Tuesdays storm, but the system on the 20th. Tuesday is cold chasing moisture at best for most of the piedmont and that just doesn’t end well here. The 20th intrigues me. Cold will be entrenched and I do not think any models have a handle on that energy yet
  9. This was probably the coldest GFS run since January 2018. Just keeps reinforcing cold shots the entire time after the 17th
  10. Yea I agree, I’ve just given up. Patterns and the term favorable don’t mean anything unless we get something and we’ve gone over over half a decade since the last big snow in my area and even that one was mostly washed away by rain that afternoon. We need something to start showing soon or we’ve officially punted till February
  11. We have long range models now and have learned through pain and disappointment that in the south, if it’s showing rain at 384, it gonna rain. If there’s no snowstorm, dont expect a surprise. Models say punt till February so maybe February will save us
  12. It’s hard to need a sanitarium when everyone simply gave up a month ago
  13. For what it’s worth the GFS/GEFS just want to keep reloading cold past mid month
  14. It’s bc the evolution as modeled by all of those is not a mode for accumulating snow here. It’s NS energy playing catch up and wringing out limited moisture as the main low deepens too far away. We need more NS interaction but, as mentioned earlier with the orientation of this cold press, that would almost definitely mean rain. For areas outside mountains, NC is out of the game for this system
  15. Yes! The two models you want in your corner against the GFS/EURO!
  16. We can’t do anything right. I’ve given up. This is a good pattern and we just cannot time anything up right.
  17. Cold gets here right as the fire hose shuts off
  18. EPS has been ticking in the right direction with that storm. I guess im just glad there’s at least cold air in the vicinity this time
  19. Over 100 kt velocities on radar scope. Thats pretty indicative of a strong tornado EDIT: Confirmed large are dangerous tornado. PDS added to warning. I hope folks are taking this one seriously there
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