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NorthHillsWx

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  1. NorthHillsWx
    https://x.com/clintonhavi/status/1717113445261185167?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g https://x.com/cinemacricket12/status/1717132710412706003?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g https://x.com/mario_moray/status/1717127960509944016?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g https://x.com/richsaucillo/status/1717142211136024685?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Tammy looking the best it’s looked at any point right now. Might see a higher intensity than the 85 kt forecast if trends continue
  3. NorthHillsWx
    This could be the worst all time hit for western Mexico. Cannot imagine a more dire situation, especially given folks had 0 time to prepare
  4. NorthHillsWx
    The 10 mb drop between passes of the last recon mission is insane. Nuclear grade red meat in the EPAC this year. Sadly, this one’s aimed for a population center
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Wow this thing is a beast. Might be close to cat 5
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Two cat 4 LFs back to back in same season…
  7. NorthHillsWx
    Wow, somehow Otis has rapidly strengthened into a major. FL winds to 110 kts and unflagged SFMR values near 100 kts. Absolutely insane high end season going on over in the EPAC
  8. NorthHillsWx
    First “light” frost of the year this morning on roofs mostly. 37.6 the low
  9. NorthHillsWx
    EPAC producing again. Looks like another overachiever though this time all indications are it will slow down and weaken before it approaches this coastline, unlike lidia
  10. NorthHillsWx
    That’s an incredible stat for both basins
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Pacific (Pacific east and west) producing this year
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Landfall at peak intensity and intensifying rapidly. Wish there was footage from the landfall point but thankfully this kept heading south into extremely rural countryside
  13. NorthHillsWx
    140 mph Cat 4. Incredible RI through landfall. Just wow
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Drop of 3mb between passes
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Major Rapidly intensifying into landfall. This doesn’t happen on Mexico’s west coast often
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Lidia now a major
  17. NorthHillsWx
    Lidia growing teeth quickly this morning
  18. NorthHillsWx
    42 this morning. Frost out towards Louisburg
  19. NorthHillsWx
    As if on cue- Philippe was finally downgraded and the streak is over
  20. NorthHillsWx
    With Philippe continuing (albeit a disorganized mess) the streak of an active Atlantic storm continues. Since August 20, there has not been an advisory cycle without an active system. Further, with models now showing development of the next wave coming off Africa, it will be a race to see if that development occurs prior to Philippe’s extratropical transition. What a streak regardless
  21. NorthHillsWx
    I still don’t see how this has managed to remain classified as a tropical system for the past couple days. Recon yet again shows a broad, trough-like circulation
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Per the GFS, the system opens up into a wave before being absorbed and combining with a large, non-tropical low over GL and Canada. Pretty wild to see what’s left of a tropical cyclone go from the Virgin Islands to Ontario without ever touching the US
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Per recon, radar, and sat, I’m not sure Philippe still has a closed center or meets criteria to still be a storm. Looks to have opened up
  24. NorthHillsWx
    If you read CSU’s prediction, it was pretty spot on. My only critique to this point is they called for an ACE of 160 with 18 storms. We are well below that with 18 storms due to many weak and short lasting named systems this year. However, their forecast reasoning played out in the face of ENSO and I think it was truly an impressive call, especially to increase their prediction during a period when the basin was completely inactive.
  25. NorthHillsWx
    As of this writing, the North Atlantic basin has exceeded an ACE value of 123. This is the value typically associated with an “average” season. I do not think many people predicted an above average ACE season, much less with more than a month to go and two active storms. Add in 18 named storms with 3 becoming major hurricanes (all cat 4+) and this has been an extremely active year. For an El Niño season (specifically a strong El Niño) this is absolutely unprecedented.
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